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“AI 2040: Is it Actually a Deal?” by 1a3orn

The "AI Futures Project" has released their AI 2040: Plan A scenario.

While their previous scenario AI 2027 was a forecast of what they thought a f…

1 week, 4 days ago

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“Adderall Tolerance: Much More Than You Wanted To Know” by Kurt H. Pieper

The effectiveness of amphetamine (e.g. Adderall) and methylphenidate (e.g. Ritalin) for the symptoms of ADHD, that is, lack of executive function, h…

1 week, 4 days ago

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“Drone WMDs Don’t Need Any New Technology” by Felix Choussat

This is a piece originally written for a national security audience at Frontiers. Although I think the ceiling of war is much, much higher than auto…

1 week, 4 days ago

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“Stop doing decision theory without metaphysics” by Elias Schmied

[Epistemic status: rant]

There's something that annoys me about the reoccurring debates on decision theory in this corner of the internet.

Take a si…

1 week, 4 days ago

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“War – What is it Good For?” by kqr

Spoiler: positive expected utility. That's what it's good for.

In The War Trap[1], Bruce Bueno de Mesquita lays out a theory of war that beats all o…

1 week, 4 days ago

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“Against the AI framing multiverse: Introducing AI StopWatch” by tanagrabeast

In my long years as a classroom teacher, it was my experience that the kid most likely to speak up during discussion was the one who did the reading…

1 week, 4 days ago

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“We’re talking past our models; or, How a model defined its “evil” vector as dread” by jcksanderson

Summary

We train a new token—a neologism (Hewitt et al.)—for a model, but unlike Hewitt et al., we train it on data the model generated while steere…

1 week, 4 days ago

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“Many alignment techniques work by training one model and deploying another” by cloud

tl;dr - Steering vectors, inoculation prompting, and post-hoc honesty fine-tuning can all be understood as variants of one alignment strategy, which…

1 week, 5 days ago

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“A Post-Mortem for My Goal Crystallisation Project” by atryt0ne, Jason R Brown

I concluded my MARS 4.0 project titled 'Goal Crystallisation' with Anaïs Berkes and Lukas Gebhard under the mentorship of @Cameron Tice and @Jason B…

1 week, 5 days ago

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“Endogenous Alignment” by Gordon Seidoh Worley

Starting when children are fairly young, usually around 1 year of age, we adults begin the work of aligning them to our values. We teach them to say…

1 week, 5 days ago

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