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“What the Pro-Democracy Movement Knows About Quitting in Protest” by Maxwell Love

Tl;dr

I saw Kabir's post and thought the argument could be strengthened by a framework from the pro-democracy field, which sorts defections into bre…

1 week, 2 days ago

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“Categorical taboos are much better than threshold taboos: neuralese edition” by Linch

I think what's going on in the “Does Astra use neuralese?” debate is that there's an important sense in which models *already* do self-communication…

1 week, 2 days ago

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[Linkpost] “Doom as a bad method not a utopia trade-off” by KatjaGrace

This is a link post.

Advanced AI is generally expected to have some very high variance outcomes—it might herald everything good, it might destroy hum…

1 week, 2 days ago

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“The Geometry of Nonergodic Composition” by Adam Shai, Kyle Ray, Paul Riechers

Crossposted from Belief Updates, the Simplex blog, where several of the figures are interactive. By Kyle J. Ray, Paul M. Riechers, and Adam S. Shai …

1 week, 2 days ago

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“So where’s this AI thing going?” by Seth Herd

The Overton window is shifting with statements like An Alien Mind from OpenAI's chief scientist and Jacob Coxon's viral statement on x-risk on resig…

1 week, 2 days ago

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“An operationalization of opaque serial depth” by ryan_greenblatt, frisby, Alek Westover, Lukas Finnveden, Alexa Pan, Julian Stastny

Currently, chain-of-thought (CoT) is a valuable tool for overseeing AI models. However, some architectural shifts could significantly reduce CoT mon…

1 week, 2 days ago

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“Proposal for tracking the effects of architecture on monitorability” by ryan_greenblatt, Alek Westover, Lukas Finnveden

Architectures that incorporate opaque recurrence or allow for agents to communicate with each other using latents could rapidly make it much harder …

1 week, 2 days ago

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“AI #185: Preference Cascade” by Zvi

The world of AI is inside my OODA loop. Even if I can process all the incoming information and sculpt it into posts, and even using Saturday and Sun…

1 week, 2 days ago

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“One Billion Hemmingways” by Girard Dorney

The lonely man asks Hemingway to write him a short story of six words or less. Hemingway thinks for a minute then responds, “For sale: Baby shoes, n…

1 week, 3 days ago

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“Astra can do a concerning amount with no chain of thought” by Neel Nanda

TLDR: Astra has 8.6x better odds of doing a reasoning task without CoT than the next best model (Fable 5.1), and can do 7.2 serial arithmetic steps …

1 week, 3 days ago

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