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“Quantitative AI risk assessment: a starting point” by Henry Papadatos, jakub_krys, malcolmmurray, Renn Karageorgieva

Current AI risk management relies on qualitative approaches, much like nuclear safety before 1975. We propose a shift to quantitative risk modeling,…

1 week, 3 days ago

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“Finding the Mole: Bayesianism is Hard” by laniakea

I first encountered LessWrong a couple months ago, and since then I've been a regular reader of posts here, including parts of the Sequences. Bayesi…

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“Notes on Fourier Analysis” by Menotim

This post records what I've learned while studying a bit of Fourier analysis. I used this PDF, which is the lecture notes for this Stanford course. …

1 week, 3 days ago

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“Standard deviations from just two values” by kqr

William Sealy Gosset was great. He improved beer at Guinness by using the statistics that existed at the time. Not happy with that, he invented new …

1 week, 3 days ago

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“Contra Wentworth on Physical Attractiveness for Men” by Gretta Duleba

This is a response to John Wentworth's recent article, Why Physical Attractiveness Matters for Men's Dating Prospects. I have no quibble with the th…

1 week, 3 days ago

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“Practical Learnings from Synthetic Document Finetuning” by Axel Højmark, Jérémy Scheurer

We've been using Synthetic Document Finetuning (SDF) quite a bit at Apollo Research lately. This post covers a few tweaks to the standard SDF recipe…

1 week, 3 days ago

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“RTMH: Pope Leo’s Magnifica Humanitas on AI” by Zvi

His holiness has spoken, frequently about AI. At eighty two pages of length.

The full Magnifica Humanitas can be found here.

I am very happy that …

1 week, 4 days ago

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“Claude, Author of the Humanitas” by Linch

In the wee hours of Memorial Day, my friends and I stayed up past 4:30 AM California time to listen to the announcement of Pope Leo's first encyclic…

1 week, 4 days ago

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“Brackets Are a Bad Way to Regulate” by Hide

Continuous distributions are everywhere - for virtually everything we care about, a little more is a little better (or worse), and a lot more is a l…

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“Many portions of Magnifica Humanitas appear to be AI-written” by DanielFilan

Magnifica Humanitas is a recent ‘encyclical’ by Pope Leo XIV, leader of the Catholic Church. It outlines a vision for how humanity should interact w…

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