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Stagflation and mounting market divergences on the brain


Episode 1239


Today we run through the important US July CPI data release today, the first data point that is arguably fully showing Trump tariff impacts. We break down the possible reaction functions across marke…


Published on 4 weeks, 2 days ago

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Surf is up for the bulls for now, can US CPI spoil the fun?


Episode 1238


Today, a look at the strong close to the equity market action on Friday and the ongoing speculative fervor in key areas of the market, with Bitcoin pushing near all time highs today. Also: a look at …


Published on 1 month ago

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Countdown to Mar-a-Lago accord just begun?


Episode 1237


Today's slide deck: https://bit.ly/4oGwhfc   -

Today we cover the chaos in the gold market on the US moving to tariff certain classes of bullion, Trump's executive order to allow bitcoin and cryptocu…


Published on 1 month ago

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Something weird is brewing, but what?


Episode 1236


Today, we run down some of the odd factors in this market that are keeping us on the edge of our seat that something weird, and possibly ominous, is brewing, if disguised by the wall of retail, passi…


Published on 1 month ago

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And the next Fed Chair is...


Episode 1235


Today, we await the imminent announcement of the identity of the next Fed Chair as Trump has two empty Fed board seats to play with and could fill one of them with his next Fed Chair nominee. We also…


Published on 1 month ago

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The AI train keeps chugging. Challenging our own bearish case.


Episode 1234


Today, we note that US stocks have closed last week's gap in the major indices. Do bears re-engage or get trampled by the bulls? We round up the blowout Palantir earnings, look at the next key AI nam…


Published on 1 month ago

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The cracks beginning to show as we are flying blind on state of US labor market.


Episode 1233


The overdue US equity market correction finally arrived. Will this just prove a healthy correction or are the cracks beginning to show, pointing to something bigger afoot? It is certainly clear that …


Published on 1 month, 1 week ago

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What one Mag7 name giveth, another Mag7 name taketh away


Episode 1232


Link to today's slide deck.    -

Today, a look at a very unusual and very climactic third consecutive outside day on the Nasdaq 100 index, as the intraday rally tested all time new highs before selli…


Published on 1 month, 1 week ago

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Is Meta bad for humanity, even if earnings were as good as it gets?


Episode 1231


Today, a look at Meta blasting it out of the park in its latest earnings report, though this could be about as good as it gets for a company of its size, and its roadmap has some "questionable" eleme…


Published on 1 month, 1 week ago

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Most dangerous market of all time?


Episode 1230


Today, a run down the gauntlet of risks that this market has to navigate in the coming two weeks, from earnings and US data to geopolitics and other factors as we fret that a reasonable consolidation…


Published on 1 month, 1 week ago





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