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Has market made up its mind no matter what Nvidia delivers tonight?


Episode 1249


Today, a look at how the market may treat the Nvidia earnings call tonight almost irrespective of the quality of its results if big money has made up its mind what it wants to do with AI names before…


Published on 2 weeks, 1 day ago

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Europe on edge as the bad penny of French politics turns up again


Episode 1248


Today, a look at markets unwinding much of the reaction to the Powell's Jackson Hole speech, the bad vibes in Europe this morning as French politics are set for another showdown into a September 8 co…


Published on 2 weeks, 2 days ago

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Much ado about a modest Jackson Hole something


Episode 1247


Today we pick apart the market drama that unfolded in the wake of a modestly dovish Jackson Hole speech from Fed Chair Powell, with market divergences more compelling to discuss than the speech itsel…


Published on 2 weeks, 3 days ago

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Is Nvidia dead to China?


Episode 1246


Slide deck for today's podcast: https://bit.ly/47eartf   -

Be sure to check out the many links, including those discussed on today's podcast, together with the chart of the day, over at the johnjhard…


Published on 2 weeks, 6 days ago

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Dip buyers celebrate, but market fragility now laid bare


Episode 1245


Today, we note that dip-buyers won the day yesterday after a further acceleration of the sell-off, but that the entire volatile experience has further revealed the fragility of this market.  We also …


Published on 3 weeks ago

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Is Palantir's goose finally cooked?


Episode 1244


Yesterday saw Palantir shares leading the decliners on Wall Street as tech and crypto stocks were hammered yesterday even as the average stock didn't perform terribly on the day. With a drawdown of m…


Published on 3 weeks, 1 day ago

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Bond markets could pressurize this too quiet market.


Episode 1243


Today, we look at an unremarkable US equity market session while we continue to watch for signs of trouble after recent divergences and shifts in the internals. A key focus today on very long bond yi…


Published on 3 weeks, 2 days ago

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Correction time again as big US retailers set to report?


Episode 1242


Link to today's slide deck: https://bit.ly/4fIGOCj    -

This week we face an extension of geopolitical tensions as we await the outcome of the bargaining process over the terms of a ceasefire in the …


Published on 3 weeks, 3 days ago

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The music has suddenly changed. It feels like a huge vibe shift.


Episode 1241


Today we break down another day of wild divergences relative to recent market action, as former dud sectors are suddenly outperforming like crazy, a sudden vibe shift that feels significant, if myste…


Published on 4 weeks ago

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After US CPI, small caps for the win, for a day at least.


Episode 1240


Today we look at the explosive reaction to the US July CPI release, which failed to confirm fears that Trump tariffs would feed into hotter headline inflation - but was this one-off algorithmic squee…


Published on 4 weeks, 1 day ago





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