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$10.7B Office Loans Hit Hard Maturity by 2029

Ten point seven billion dollars in performing office loans with debt service coverage ratios below 1.00x are approaching hard maturity by 2029. The r…

1 month, 1 week ago

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Apartment Development Is Leaving the Sun Belt

The next wave of apartment supply is shifting. New York and Los Angeles are leading permits while the Sun Belt cools. We break down what it means for…

1 month, 1 week ago

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Why Rent Gets Paid First When Retail Gets Cut

The American household is rerouting its spending, not collapsing it.

What happened: 
• Core retail sales fell 0.2% in July, the first monthly decline o…

1 month, 1 week ago

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Tait Duryea of Turbine Capital: Macro Madness and The Three Pillars

Episode 30

Tait Duryea joins Adam, Cam, and Vanessa to break down a fractured, lopsided economy, why the Fed is flying blind, and how he built a diversified pri…

1 month, 2 weeks ago

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Treasury Just Tried to Bend Yields

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent announced doubled buybacks of long-dated bonds from $2B to $4B per operation, targeting 10-to-30-year range with tot…

1 month, 2 weeks ago

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Manhattan Rents Hit $5K While Texas Class C Burns

Manhattan just hit $5,000 average rents. Apartment listings down 39%. 

Meanwhile, Texas Class C multifamily is unraveling due to borrower misconduct, …

1 month, 2 weeks ago

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The Window for Operators is Narrowing

The data everyone missed: $85 billion raised in 8 months sounds like a goldmine, but 40% of it went to just 10 mega-funds. 

Brookfield closed $16 bill…

1 month, 3 weeks ago

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Banks Are Back and Private Credit Is Nervous

Episode 32


Banks captured 34% of Q1 2025 CRE loan closings, up from 22% one year priorPrivate credit originations collapsed from nearly 50% to 19% in the same p…

1 month, 3 weeks ago

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Capital Moves Faster Than Physics

AI companies now occupy 10% of San Francisco's office market. 8.5M SF, up from 1.1M SF in 2022. Our research shows 700% growth in four years. Retaile…

1 month, 3 weeks ago

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The $65B Maturity Wall Is Finally Here

Episode 31


The $65B CMBS maturity wall is here. $37 billion has zero extension options. Refinancing pain is real. Borrowers who locked at 3% are now facing 6-7%…

1 month, 4 weeks ago

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