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The Latest News and the Economic Outlook

Episode 337

Evening newspapers, like vinyl records and rotary phones, are fading relics, all victims of the smartphones into which humanity is gradually burying …

6 months, 2 weeks ago

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The Receding Tariff Tide

Episode 336

A year ago this week, the President announced what he described as “reciprocal tariffs” on goods imported from all major U.S. trading partners. These…

7 months ago

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The Investment Implications of Shrinking the Fed’s Balance Sheet

Episode 335

In a speech last April, Fed Chair Nominee, Kevin Warsh, lamented the mission creep of the Federal Reserve as well as the Fed’s expanded balance sheet…

7 months, 1 week ago

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How Will It End?

Episode 334

One of the benefits of my marathon training is that, most weekends, I get to jog over the Newton and Wellesley hills with my running buddy, John, who…

7 months, 2 weeks ago

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An Updated Outlook for the U.S. Economy

Episode 333

Three weeks ago, I wrote an article entitled Detangling Solution for the Economic Outlook in which I outlined a baseline forecast for 2026 and into 2…

7 months, 3 weeks ago

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The Investment Implications of the Tariff Decision

Episode 332

On Friday, the Supreme Court released a long-awaited decision, ruling that the President’s imposition of tariffs, using the 1977 International Emerge…

8 months, 1 week ago

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Detangling Solution for the Economic Outlook

Episode 331

Between taking a shower when I get up in the morning and another when I get home from running, I am a significant consumer of detangling solution. In…

8 months, 2 weeks ago

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Real Economy Challenges

Episode 330

Last week saw dramatic moves in financial markets. Gold and silver, which rose very sharply last year and in January, suddenly lurched down before st…

8 months, 3 weeks ago

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The Federal Reserve – New Leadership, Same Landscape

Episode 329

On Friday, the President announced Kevin Warsh as his pick for Fed Chair. Warsh has a track record of hawkishness from his previous stint as Fed gove…

9 months ago

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The Direction of the Fed

Episode 328

Amidst a torrent of unsettling international and domestic events, the week ahead could be very consequential for the Federal Reserve. The FOMC will h…

9 months, 1 week ago

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