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Ukraine: The Investment Implications of a Loser’s Game

Episode 169

Financial markets sold off last week as investors worried about a possible Russian invasion of Ukraine.  Before engaging in any analysis of what this…

4 years, 8 months ago

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Interest Rates: How High and How Fast?

Episode 168

So far this year, the 10-year Treasury yield has risen from 1.52% to 1.93%.  This increase has been accompanied by broadly lower equity markets, with…

4 years, 9 months ago

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Feddle

Episode 167

In the last few weeks, it seems everyone is playing Wordle. Each morning, a UK website posts a new game and you get six attempts to guess the five le…

4 years, 9 months ago

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Housing and the Fed

Episode 166

n Saturday, at an average home, on an average road in Maplewood, New Jersey, the realtors staged an open house. Even for a January, this was a rare e…

4 years, 9 months ago

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The Recession Scenario

Episode 165

Our baseline view of the world does not include a U.S. recession in the next two years. However, it is certainly possible, and investors would be wel…

4 years, 9 months ago

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Shifting Fundamentals Still Point to Higher Rates

Episode 164

There is an old and much-quoted saying by the Greek philosopher Heraclitus: “A man never steps in the same river twice” – because it is not the same …

4 years, 10 months ago

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Pumping the Brakes on the U.S. Economy

Episode 163

Growing up in Dublin, my parents were of the firm belief that the streets of the city were safer without David behind the wheel of a car.  Consequent…

4 years, 10 months ago

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The Fed turns more hawkish…for now

Episode 162

When our children were very young and they committed some transgression, we had a rule in our house. It wasn’t enough to say sorry. You had to say wh…

4 years, 10 months ago

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The Great Worker Shortage

Episode 161

Despite a disappointing gain in non-farm payrolls in November, numerous recent data points show an extraordinary excess demand for workers.  This exc…

4 years, 11 months ago

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The Investment Implications of Omicron

Episode 160

Financial markets tumbled last week as reports spread of a new, highly-mutated variant of Covid-19 which could be more contagious than the Delta vari…

4 years, 11 months ago

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