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The Investment Implications of a Falling Budget Deficit

Episode 179

Last Wednesday, the Treasury Department announced a record monthly budget surplus for April of $308.2 billion.  The report elicited no noticeable mar…

4 years, 5 months ago

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Slowing Growth and the Potential for an Extended Soft Landing

Episode 178

In the movies, in order to convey the passage of time, a director will sometimes film a scene as the seasons quickly pass before your eyes.  With wis…

4 years, 6 months ago

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The Dollar in a World of Worries

Episode 177

In any given year, four big exogenous forces tend to have the most impact on portfolio returns, namely, earnings, interest rates, taxes and the dolla…

4 years, 6 months ago

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Killing it Softly: How the Fed should Fight Inflation

Episode 176

Economic data in the week ahead should highlight a stumble in economic growth and a surge in inflation in the first quarter. While second quarter num…

4 years, 6 months ago

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The Economy and Markets after a First-Quarter Roller Coaster

Episode 175

A number of years ago, as part of a team-building exercise at an overseas conference, I got bullied into taking a ride on a particularly fearsome rol…

4 years, 7 months ago

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Where have all the workers gone?

Episode 174

Last Thursday, as I headed home from a conference, the car I’d booked to take me to the airport didn’t show up. Luckily there was a taxi nearby so I …

4 years, 7 months ago

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Small Paddle, Big Rapids: What the Economy Could Do to the Fed

Episode 173

Despite their best intentions, the Federal Reserve sometimes appears to be trying to steer a big boat, through violent rapids, armed only with a smal…

4 years, 7 months ago

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Getting Going on Monetary Tightening

Episode 172

At 5:30AM on Saturday morning, Coach Jack posted on the team Facebook page – the training run was a go.  Just as well.

The Boston Marathon is now fiv…

4 years, 7 months ago

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Ukraine and the U.S. Economy

Episode 171

In the week ahead, the world’s attention will continue to be focused on the horrific human consequences of the Russian invasion of Ukraine.  However,…

4 years, 8 months ago

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The Financial Backdrop as Ukraine Waits and Worries

Episode 170

Every winter, here in eastern Massachusetts, we are visited by Nor’easters. Each storm is plotted on weather maps days in advance. A low pressure are…

4 years, 8 months ago

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