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“How I Learned To Stop Trusting Prediction Markets and Love the Arbitrage” by orthonormal

This is a story about a flawed Manifold market, about how easy it is to buy significant objective-sounding publicity for your preferred politics, and…

1 year, 6 months ago

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“This is already your second chance” by Malmesbury

Cross-posted from Substack.

1.

And the sky opened, and from the celestial firmament descended a cube of ivory the size of a skyscraper, lifted by ten …

1 year, 6 months ago

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“0. CAST: Corrigibility as Singular Target” by Max Harms

Crossposted from the AI Alignment Forum. May contain more technical jargon than usual.What the heck is up with “corrigibility”? For most of my career…

1 year, 6 months ago

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“Self-Other Overlap: A Neglected Approach to AI Alignment” by Marc Carauleanu, Mike Vaiana, Judd Rosenblatt, Diogo de Lucena

Figure 1. Image generated by DALL-3 to represent the concept of self-other overlapMany thanks to Bogdan Ionut-Cirstea, Steve Byrnes, Gunnar Zarnacke,…

1 year, 6 months ago

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“You don’t know how bad most things are nor precisely how they’re bad.” by Solenoid_Entity

TL;DR: Your discernment in a subject often improves as you dedicate time and attention to that subject. The space of possible subjects is huge, so on…

1 year, 6 months ago

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“Recommendation: reports on the search for missing hiker Bill Ewasko” by eukaryote

This is a link post.Content warning: About an IRL death.

Today's post isn’t so much an essay as a recommendation for two bodies of work on the same to…

1 year, 6 months ago

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“The ‘strong’ feature hypothesis could be wrong” by lsgos

NB. I am on the Google Deepmind language model interpretability team. But the arguments/views in this post are my own, and shouldn't be read as a tea…

1 year, 6 months ago

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“‘AI achieves silver-medal standard solving International Mathematical Olympiad problems’” by gjm

This is a link post.Google DeepMind reports on a system for solving mathematical problems that allegedly is able to give complete solutions to four o…

1 year, 7 months ago

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“Decomposing Agency — capabilities without desires” by owencb, Raymond D

This is a link post.What is an agent? It's a slippery concept with no commonly accepted formal definition, but informally the concept seems to be use…

1 year, 7 months ago

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“Universal Basic Income and Poverty” by Eliezer Yudkowsky

(Crossposted from Twitter)

I'm skeptical that Universal Basic Income can get rid of grinding poverty, since somehow humanity's 100-fold productivity i…

1 year, 7 months ago

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