Podcast Episodes

The End of the Affair

Episode 37

The affair with the market catalysts of the last decade is over now, and a new era of investing begins

View transcript with chart references 

Published on 3 years ago

Holiday Eye on the Market: Non-Fungible Trainwreck

Episode 36

Holiday Eye on the Market: the YUCs, the MUCs, FTX, the Gensler Rule and the Summers Rule

Published on 3 years, 1 month ago

A CH₄, HR4346 and mRNA-1273 Thanksgiving

Episode 35

In the October Eye on the Market I wrote about how in 6 of 7 post-war recessions, equity markets preceded the decline in profits, employment and GDP by several months at least. I also mentioned that …

Published on 3 years, 1 month ago

Reruns

Episode 34

Reruns: how equity declines precede the fall in earnings, growth and employment during recessions; new US semiconductor export policies on China and the clash of empires; and other press article exto…

Published on 3 years, 2 months ago

Arrested Development

Episode 33

Arrested Development: the pressure on profit margins, the tightest labor markets in decades and whether “second chance” policies for those with criminal arrest records can expand the labor force

Published on 3 years, 3 months ago

On CPI, S&P, GHG and the IRS

Episode 32

Three topics in this month’s Eye on the Market. First, an update on the Fed, inflation and corporate profits since we believe the June equity market lows may be retested in the fall. Second, a detail…

Published on 3 years, 3 months ago

Independence Days

Episode 31

Topics: A revised map of the United States; investing in equities before a recession; Russia’s natural gas squeeze on Europe leads to another rescue program for Italy; the high cost of pariah status …

Published on 3 years, 6 months ago

The Elephants in the Room: Part Four, Whydrogen

Episode 30

Hydrogen use cases may be much narrower than advertised, and the timeline is a very long one

Published on 3 years, 6 months ago

The Elephants in the Room: Part Three, Electrification of home heating

Episode 29

Fossil fuel bans, heat pumps and electrification of winter heating: What will happen to transmission grids at times of peak loads if no backup heating systems are in place? And what about the pace of…

Published on 3 years, 7 months ago

Bear Market Barometers

Episode 28

The slowdown induced by central bank tightening is just starting. Be patient when adding risk to portfolios. Valuations have declined materially but the price paid for high earnings growth is still e…

Published on 3 years, 7 months ago