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What was I made for: Large Language Models in the Real World


Episode 47


I asked Chat GPT-4 questions on economics, markets, energy and politics that my analysts and I worked on over the last two years. This piece reviews the results, along with the latest achievements an…


Published on 2 years, 3 months ago

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The Rasputin Effect


Episode 46


Global resilience to higher rates

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View video and charts here


Published on 2 years, 4 months ago

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Mr. Toad’s Wild Ride


Episode 45


The impact of underperforming 2020 and 2021 US IPOs

View transcript with chart references


Published on 2 years, 5 months ago

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Letters to the Editor


Episode 44


Comments on mega-cap stocks and artificial intelligence. Then, it’s time for some of my unsolicited letters to Barron’s, MSNBC, “No Labels”, FHFA and more.


Published on 2 years, 6 months ago

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Too Long at the Fair


Episode 43


Time to retire the US/Emerging Markets barbell for a while

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Published on 2 years, 7 months ago

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The Places We Could Go


Episode 42


Before getting into the US$ discussion, three quick things. First, despite strong US data in Q1 and Q2, the US still appears headed for a slowdown later this year. As shown below, many longer-horizon…


Published on 2 years, 8 months ago

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Frankenstein’s Monster


Episode 41


Frankenstein’s Monster: banking system deposits and the unintended fallout from the Fed’s monetary experiment; commercial real estate, regional banks and the COVID occupancy shock; the wipeout of Cre…


Published on 2 years, 8 months ago

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Growing Pains: The Renewable Transition in Adolescence


Episode 40


Renewables are growing but don’t always behave the way you want them to.  This year’s topics include the impact of rising clean energy investment and new energy bills, how grid decarbonization is out…


Published on 2 years, 9 months ago

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Winter Heating


Episode 39


The large language model battles begin: a look at the future of web search, conventional wisdom machines, hallucinating bears in space, some early application successes and how far they still are fro…


Published on 2 years, 10 months ago

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American Gothic


Episode 38


The Federal debt and how the Visigoths may try to break the system if no one fixes it

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Published on 2 years, 11 months ago





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