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False Recession Alarms. Real Risks. | Aahan Menon on What Investors Are Missing

False Recession Alarms. Real Risks. | Aahan Menon on What Investors Are Missing


Season 1 Episode 333


Why didn’t the long-predicted recession arrive? In this episode, we talk with Aahan Menon, founder of Prometheus Research, about why traditional macro models are breaking down and what investors are …


Published on 1 month, 3 weeks ago

How Option Dealer Flows Impact the Stock Market

How Option Dealer Flows Impact the Stock Market



Billions are moving through the stock market every day—but not for the reasons most investors think.

In this episode, Brent Kochuba of SpotGamma breaks down the hidden world of options dealer flows an…


Published on 1 month, 4 weeks ago

The Great Moderation is Over. The Great Convergence is Here | Luca Paolini on What Comes Next

The Great Moderation is Over. The Great Convergence is Here | Luca Paolini on What Comes Next


Season 1 Episode 332


In this episode, we speak with Luca Paolini, Chief Strategist at Pictet Asset Management, about the firm’s 2025 Secular Outlook and the unfolding shift in global markets. Paolini argues that the era …


Published on 2 months ago

Whipsaws, Drawdowns, and Disbelief | Eric Crittenden on the Best Diversifier No One Buys

Whipsaws, Drawdowns, and Disbelief | Eric Crittenden on the Best Diversifier No One Buys


Season 1 Episode 331


In this episode of Excess Returns, Matt Zeigler and Jason Buck sit down with Eric Crittenden, CIO of Standpoint Funds, for a wide-ranging and candid discussion about trend following, risk transfer ma…


Published on 2 months, 1 week ago

Broken Models. Misleading Yields | Ryan Krueger on Avoiding the Dividend Trap

Broken Models. Misleading Yields | Ryan Krueger on Avoiding the Dividend Trap


Season 1 Episode 330


Most investors chase yield. But what if the very models they rely on — from dividend screens to the 4% rule — are fundamentally broken?

In this episode, we’re joined by Ryan Krueger, co-founder of Fre…


Published on 2 months, 2 weeks ago

500,000 More Sellers Than Buyers. First Time in a Decade | Daryl Fairweather on What Comes Next

500,000 More Sellers Than Buyers. First Time in a Decade | Daryl Fairweather on What Comes Next


Season 1 Episode 329


In this episode, we’re joined by Daryl Fairweather, Chief Economist at Redfin and author of Hate the Game, to explore the most dramatic shift in the U.S. housing market in over a decade. With sellers…


Published on 2 months, 2 weeks ago

Buffett Does It. Most Value Investors Don’t | Robert Hagstrom on the Real Key to Compounding

Buffett Does It. Most Value Investors Don’t | Robert Hagstrom on the Real Key to Compounding


Season 1 Episode 328


Robert Hagstrom returns to discuss the investing principle he believes most value investors still misunderstand—despite decades of evidence from Warren Buffett. In this conversation, we explore why f…


Published on 2 months, 2 weeks ago

Recession Indicators Are Breaking. Inflation Isn’t | Megan Horneman on What Comes Next

Recession Indicators Are Breaking. Inflation Isn’t | Megan Horneman on What Comes Next


Season 1 Episode 327


Megan Horneman: Fragile Optimism, Hidden Inflation Risks, and What Investors Are Missing

In this episode, we’re joined by Megan Horneman, Chief Investment Officer at Verdence Capital Advisors, to disc…


Published on 2 months, 2 weeks ago

Broken Data. Hidden Opportunity | GMO's Warren Chiang on Deep Value’s Historic Setup

Broken Data. Hidden Opportunity | GMO's Warren Chiang on Deep Value’s Historic Setup


Season 1 Episode 326


GMO’s Warren Chiang joins us for a deep dive into the art and science of systematic value investing. In this episode, Warren shares how his team has refined traditional value investing to adapt to an…


Published on 2 months, 3 weeks ago

Blind to Power: The Hidden Investing Risk of Rising Strongmen | Peter Atwater

Blind to Power: The Hidden Investing Risk of Rising Strongmen | Peter Atwater


Season 1 Episode 325


In this episode of Excess Returns, Matt Zeigler sits down with Peter Atwater—President of Financial Insyghts, author of The Confidence Map, and expert on decision-making under uncertainty. Peter lays…


Published on 2 months, 3 weeks ago





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