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Session 6A: Probabilistic Tools in Finance and Investing
Session 6A: Probabilistic Tools in Finance and Investing

Investing is a game of odds, and thus lends itself well to probabilistic analysis. I start by looking at the possibility that stocks follow a random …

6 months ago

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Session 21: The Essence of Real Options
Session 21: The Essence of Real Options

Lay the foundations for viewing and valuing some assets as options and how it adds to their values.

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6 months ago

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Data Update 6 for 2026: In Search of Profitability and Value!
Data Update 6 for 2026: In Search of Profitability and Value!

Milton Friedman posited that the social responsibility of a business is to generate profits,. That view has increasingly come under assault from thos…

6 months ago

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Session 6B: Monte Carlo Simulations in Finance and Investing
Session 6B: Monte Carlo Simulations in Finance and Investing

Monte Carlo simulations allow us to face up to uncertainty, rather than hide from it. In this session, I describe the steps in a simulation, starting…

6 months ago

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Session 12: Acquisition Ornaments: Synergy, control and complexity
Session 12: Acquisition Ornaments: Synergy, control and complexity

Look at the value of control and synergy, oft used reasons for acquisitions, as well as the consequences of complexity for value.

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6 months ago

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Session 1: Introduction to statistics
Session 1: Introduction to statistics

In this class, I start by looking at why access to more data and powerful analytical tools has made understanding statistics more critical than ever …

6 months ago

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Data Update 7 for 2026: Debt and Taxes
Data Update 7 for 2026: Debt and Taxes

Every business faces a choice of using either borrowed money (debt) or owner's funds (equity) in financing its operations, and in this sessions I sta…

6 months ago

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Session 3: Descriptive Statistics
Session 3: Descriptive Statistics

When faced with large amounts of data, we descriptive statistics to capture the essence of the data. Those descriptive statistics start with measures…

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Session 17: Book Value Multiples
Session 17: Book Value Multiples

Look at the variables that cause book value multiples (price to book and EV to Investment Capital) to vary across companies and time.

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6 months ago

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Data Update 8 for 2026: Dividends and Buybacks - The Investing Harvest!
Data Update 8 for 2026: Dividends and Buybacks - The Investing Harvest!

In this session, I focus on how and how much cash was returned to shareholders in 2025. While, in theory, companies should wait until after making in…

6 months ago

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