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Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – The Erosion of Exorbitant Privilege (2/2/26)

Episode 293

Long-term government debt issued by advanced economies seems like a less attractive investment these days for safety conscious investors. In his late…

5 months, 2 weeks ago

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Bi-Weekly Geopolitical Report – Blocs, Spheres, Empires, and Colonies (1/26/2026)

Episode 292

After a year in office, it is becoming a little bit easier to categorize the Trump administration's foreign policy and to build an investment strateg…

5 months, 3 weeks ago

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Bi-Weekly Geopolitical Report – Investment Implications of the New US National Security Strategy (1/12/2026)

Episode 291

A new security strategy for the United States delivers a strong message for investors. Confluence Chief Market Strategist Patrick Fearon-Hernandez jo…

6 months, 1 week ago

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Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – America’s AI Buildout and Its Market Risks (1/12/26)

Episode 290

The enormous investment in data centers to support AI development has carried the S&P 500 index to record highs. The index rose more than 16% last ye…

6 months, 1 week ago

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The Confluence Mailbag –  Money, Market Risks, and Investing in a Multipolar World (12/29/25)
The Confluence Mailbag – Money, Market Risks, and Investing in a Multipolar World (12/29/25)

Episode 289

Bill O’Grady and Mark Keller close out the final episode of the year by examining some key factors shaping markets heading into 2026 — from China’s g…

6 months, 3 weeks ago

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Bi-Weekly Geopolitical Report – The 2026 Geopolitical Outlook (12/15/2025)

Episode 288

In this episode, members of the Confluence Macroeconomic Team sit down with Phil Adler to assess the geopolitical outlook for 2026. Six big picture t…

7 months ago

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Confluence of Ideas - 2026 Outlook: Implications of the New Techno-Industrial State

Episode 287

Confluence's official 2026 Outlook anticipates a reacceleration of the economy next year and a low risk of recession. Three of the co-authors of the …

7 months, 1 week ago

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Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – What Catch-Up Economic Reports Say About the AI Boom (12/8/25)

Episode 286

Late arriving economic reports have delivered mixed results on the health of the US economy. Confluence Chief Market Strategist Patrick Fearon-Hernan…

7 months, 1 week ago

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Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – The Inflation Adjustment for Social Security Benefits in 2026 (11/17/25)

Episode 285

Social Security has been, over the years, a slowly expanding support prop for the US economy. Confluence Chief Market Strategist Patrick Fearon-Herna…

8 months ago

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Bi-Weekly Geopolitical Report – Meet Sanae Takaichi (10/27/2025)

Episode 284

The policies of the new Japanese prime minister may provide a boost for Japanese stocks. Confluence Chief Market Strategist Patrick Fearon-Hernandez …

8 months ago

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