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Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly - The Importance of the Policy Mix (3/13/2023)

Episode 152

Investors, be aware: interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve may not be enough, on their own, to subdue inflation. The Fed might need some help. C…

3 years, 4 months ago

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Confluence of Ideas - Reflections on Inflation

Episode 151

Bill O’Grady, Confluence’s Chief Market Strategist, sits down with Phil Adler to discuss the subtleties of inflation, specifically, an examination of…

3 years, 4 months ago

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Bi-Weekly Geopolitical Report – Enter the Petroyuan (3/6/2023)

Episode 150

Confluence has been suggesting for some time now that the world is in the process of fracturing into two competing economic and geopolitical blocs, o…

3 years, 4 months ago

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Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly - Federal Reserve Policymakers in 2023: Hawks or Doves? (2/27/2023)

Episode 149

Any decision by the FOMC to pause or reverse its current journey toward higher interest rates could trigger a sharp rally in stocks. The question inv…

3 years, 4 months ago

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Bi-Weekly Geopolitical Report – Chip War (2/21/2023)

Episode 148

Computers. Banking. Healthcare. Transportation. These are only a few of the industries and social services which rely these days on semiconductors. C…

3 years, 5 months ago

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Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly - Secular Trends In Bond Yields (2/3/2023)

Episode 147

Believing that the secular downtrend in long-term Treasury yields is ending, Confluence has shortened its recommended duration in its fixed income al…

3 years, 5 months ago

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Confluence of Ideas - The 2023 Outlook

Episode 146

Confluence's 2023 economic and market forecast leaves no doubt that this will be a recession year. In our published report from December, we discuss …

3 years, 5 months ago

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Bi-Weekly Geopolitical Report – The New German Problem (1/27/2023)

Episode 145

Germany's recent reluctance to provide military equipment to Ukraine could be another sign that the country is uncomfortable with aligning itself too…

3 years, 5 months ago

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Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly - The Master of Surprise (1/20/2023)

Episode 144

While many of the world's central banks have been pushing up interest rates to dampen inflation, the Bank of Japan has steadfastly refused to follow …

3 years, 6 months ago

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Bi-Weekly Geopolitical Report – How China Will Manage Its Evolving Geopolitical Bloc (1/17/2023)

Episode 143

As the world divides into two main economic and geopolitical camps, one led by the U.S. and the other by China, the dollar's status as the world's do…

3 years, 6 months ago

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