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Holders' Realized Losses exceeded the 2022 peak by 19%

Episode 219

We compare the current bear market phase with the 2022 cycle through realized profit and loss.

2 months, 2 weeks ago

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US Investors are buying Bitcoin again: ETFs have drawn $439M so far this week

Episode 218

The US spot market is emerging from a period of maximum pressure. The Coinbase discount has not disappeared, but it has narrowed significantly, while…

2 months, 2 weeks ago

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Volatility Has Fallen 31% in July, Leverage Is Declining: Liquidation Cascade Risk Has Decreased

Episode 217

This brief examines what is happening inside the volatility compression. Low volatility is neutral on its own - its meaning depends on the direction …

2 months, 2 weeks ago

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Stablecoins Have Been Leaving Exchanges for 35 Straight Days: Demand Is Absent

Episode 216

This brief examines the balance between supply and demand through exchange flows. As long as stablecoins continue to leave exchanges and Bitcoin does…

2 months, 2 weeks ago

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New capital inflows near yearly lows, STHs continue selling at a loss

Episode 215

This brief examines how weak inflows of new capital coincide with short-term holders realizing losses. Young coins account for a minimal share of rea…

2 months, 2 weeks ago

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Long-Term Holders Accumulated 371,000 BTC Over the Past 30 Days

Episode 214

Bitcoin LTH supply hit a record 16.34M BTC, with 371K absorbed in 30 days, while CDD 30D stays low at 313M. Scarcity is building, demand is not.

2 months, 3 weeks ago

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Bullish Signal Strengthens as Indicator Agreement Reaches 79%

Episode 213

This brief explains how the local bearish regime shifted to a bullish one and why the current move appears confirmed. 

2 months, 3 weeks ago

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Bitcoin Gains 3% in 24 Hours on Fresh Demand

Episode 212

We examine what powered the daily move: aggressive market buying or the forced closing of short positions. 

2 months, 3 weeks ago

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Market Underwater: Adjusted NUPL Below Zero for Six Weeks

Episode 211

The market has remained in unrealized loss territory for six weeks. STH moved underwater first and were also the first to begin recovering, while the…

2 months, 3 weeks ago

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Open Interest Falls 12% in 24 Hours: The Market Is Shedding Leverage

Episode 210

The price decline is accompanied by a sustained reduction in open interest and a weakening pressure index. At this point, it looks more like position…

2 months, 3 weeks ago

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