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Argentina Convertibility 1991-2001: Currency Board Architecture & Convertibility Premium Mispricing │ GP/LP Analysis - 3 Red Flags │ EP50 T2
Season 2 Episode 50
Argentine Brady bonds carried a spread premium for nine years. The market priced it as compensation for reduced devaluation risk — because the curren…
1 month, 1 week ago
Zimbabwe 2008 : Productive Collateral Destruction & Monetary Financing Spiral │ GP/LP Analysis - 3 Red Flags│EP49 T2
Season 2 Episode 49
This episode builds the analytical sequence from the GP/LP side: how a government that eliminates the productive collateral base of its financial sys…
1 month, 1 week ago
Argentina Convertibility 1991 : The Plan That Ended Hyperinflation Built the Trap That Caused the Default — EP50 T1
Season 1 Episode 50
In April 1991, Argentina fixed its exchange rate to the dollar by act of Congress. It was illegal to issue a peso without a dollar in reserve to back…
1 month, 1 week ago
Zimbabwe 2008 : The Government Printed a $100 Trillion Bill. It Couldn't Buy Bread by Afternoon — EP49 T1
Season 1 Episode 49
In 2008, Zimbabwe's annual inflation reached 89.7 sextillion percent. That number has so many zeros that most people assume it's a rounding error. It…
1 month, 1 week ago
Brady Bonds 1992: Creditor-Designed Restructuring & Back-Loaded Sovereign Debt Risk │ GP/LP Analysis - 3 Red Flags │EP48 T2
Season 2 Episode 48
This episode is the due diligence framework a GP or LP should apply to any sovereign debt instrument where the restructuring terms were set by a cred…
1 month, 1 week ago
Brady Bonds 1992 : The Rescue Was Designed by the People Argentina Was Being Rescued From — EP48 T1
Season 1 Episode 48
This episode dissects the Brady Plan mechanism — the Par Bond and Discount Bond structure, the collateral requirement that immobilized Argentina's ow…
1 month, 1 week ago
Yugoslavia 1993: Monetary Financing & Central Bank Independence Collapse │ GP/LP Analysis - 3 Red Flags │EP47 T2
Season 2 Episode 47
This episode is the due diligence framework a GP or LP should apply to any sovereign exposure in a jurisdiction where central bank independence is d…
1 month, 1 week ago
Yugoslavia 1993 : The Government Printed Money to Fight a War. The Population Paid the Tax in Savings — EP47 T1
Season 1 Episode 47
In January 1994, Yugoslavia's monthly inflation rate reached three hundred and thirteen million percent. Prices doubled every thirty-four hours. A fi…
1 month, 1 week ago
NLB Slovenia 2013: Bail-In as Sovereign Fiscal Policy & EU Burden-Sharing Mechanism │ GP/LP Analysis - 3 Red Flags│ EP46 T2
Season 2 Episode 46
In August 2013, the European Commission published a document that changed the risk profile of every subordinated bank bond in the eurozone. Four mont…
1 month, 1 week ago
NLB Slovenia 2013 : They Went to Sleep Holding Bank Bonds. They Woke Up With Nothing — EP46 T1
Season 1 Episode 46
In December 2013, the Bank of Slovenia annulled five hundred and eighty-one million euros of subordinated debt overnight. No market event. No default…
1 month, 1 week ago