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Brief: 50,580 and Nobody Hedged
Brief: 50,580 and Nobody Hedged

The Dow closed at a record above 50,500 heading into Memorial Day with put-call ratios near multi-year lows, then oil crashed more than 5% overnight …

4 weeks, 2 days ago

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Super Brief: 50,580 and Nobody Hedged — Super Brief
Super Brief: 50,580 and Nobody Hedged — Super Brief

50,580 and Nobody Hedged. AI dropped the cost of creating to zero and left the cost of judging untouched. Three convergent signals confirmed the asym…

4 weeks, 2 days ago

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Brief: Confidence Collapsed. Markets Didn't.
Brief: Confidence Collapsed. Markets Didn't.

Michigan consumer sentiment hit 44.8, the lowest reading in the survey's seven-decade history, on the same day the Dow closed at an all-time high. Th…

1 month ago

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Super Brief: Confidence Collapsed. Markets Didn't. — Super Brief
Super Brief: Confidence Collapsed. Markets Didn't. — Super Brief

Confidence Collapsed. Markets Didn't.. Michigan consumer sentiment just posted 44.8, the lowest reading in the survey's seventy-year history. The Dow…

1 month ago

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Brief: Congress Pulled the Vote. Tehran Leaked the Deal.
Brief: Congress Pulled the Vote. Tehran Leaked the Deal.

Kevin Warsh took the oath as Fed Chair while Trump publicly wished for lower rates at the same ceremony. An Iranian peace deal draft leaked via Al-Ar…

1 month ago

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Super Brief: Congress Pulled the Vote. Tehran Leaked the Deal. — Super Brief
Super Brief: Congress Pulled the Vote. Tehran Leaked the Deal. — Super Brief

Congress Pulled the Vote. Tehran Leaked the Deal.. Two events landed within hours on Friday that only make sense together. House Republicans canceled…

1 month ago

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Brief: $91 Billion and a Shrug
Brief: $91 Billion and a Shrug

Nvidia guided $91 billion for Q2 excluding China and the stock slipped, Kevin Warsh takes the oath as Fed Chair today inheriting an 8-4 committee spl…

1 month ago

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Super Brief: $91 Billion and a Shrug — Super Brief
Super Brief: $91 Billion and a Shrug — Super Brief

$91 Billion and a Shrug. Walter Deemer pulled a chart from his archives this week. In 1964, the sole producer of the 23-inch color TV picture tube tr…

1 month ago

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Brief: $81.6 Billion and the Question It Cannot Answer
Brief: $81.6 Billion and the Question It Cannot Answer

Nvidia posted $81.6 billion in quarterly revenue and guided $91 billion for Q2, beating every estimate on the tape. But the stock slipped 1% after ho…

1 month ago

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Super Brief: $81.6 Billion and the Question It Cannot Answer — Super Brief
Super Brief: $81.6 Billion and the Question It Cannot Answer — Super Brief

$81.6 Billion and the Question It Cannot Answer. Nvidia posted $81.6 billion in quarterly revenue and guided $91 billion for Q2, beating the Street b…

1 month ago

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