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Emergency Episode: Center for AI Safety Chickens Out

Emergency Episode: Center for AI Safety Chickens Out



My friend John from the AI X-Risk Network podcast got hired by the Center for AI Safety (CAIS) two weeks ago.

Today I suddenly learned he’s been fired.

I’m frustrated by this decision, and frustrated w…


Published on 3 months, 1 week ago

Gary Marcus vs. Liron Shapira — AI Doom Debate

Gary Marcus vs. Liron Shapira — AI Doom Debate



Prof. Gary Marcus is a scientist, bestselling author and entrepreneur, well known as one of the most influential voices in AI. He is Professor Emeritus of Psychology and Neuroscience at NYU.  He was …


Published on 3 months, 2 weeks ago

Mike Israetel vs. Liron Shapira — AI Doom Debate

Mike Israetel vs. Liron Shapira — AI Doom Debate



 Dr. Mike Israetel, renowned exercise scientist and social media personality, and more recently a low-P(doom) AI futurist, graciously offered to debate me!

00:00 Introducing Mike Israetel

12:19 What’s …


Published on 3 months, 3 weeks ago

Doom Scenario: Human-Level AI Can't Control Smarter AI

Doom Scenario: Human-Level AI Can't Control Smarter AI



I want to be transparent about how I’ve updated my mainline AI doom scenario in light of safe & useful LLMs. So here’s where I’m at…

00:00 Introduction

07:59 The Dangerous Threshold to Runaway Superint…


Published on 3 months, 3 weeks ago

The Most Likely AI Doom Scenario — with Jim Babcock, LessWrong Team

The Most Likely AI Doom Scenario — with Jim Babcock, LessWrong Team



What’s the most likely (“mainline”) AI doom scenario? How does the existence of LLMs update the original Yudkowskian version? I invited my friend Jim Babcock to help me answer these questions.

Jim is …


Published on 3 months, 4 weeks ago

AI Could Give Humans MORE Control — Ozzie Gooen

AI Could Give Humans MORE Control — Ozzie Gooen



Ozzie Gooen is the founder of the Quantified Uncertainty Research Institute (QURI), a nonprofit building software tools for forecasting and policy analysis. I’ve known him through the rationality com…


Published on 4 months ago

Top AI Professor Has 85% P(Doom) — David Duvenaud, Fmr. Anthropic Safety Team Lead

Top AI Professor Has 85% P(Doom) — David Duvenaud, Fmr. Anthropic Safety Team Lead



David Duvenaud is a professor of Computer Science at the University of Toronto, co-director of the Schwartz Reisman Institute for Technology and Society, former Alignment Evals Team Lead at Anthropic…


Published on 4 months, 1 week ago

“AI 2027” — Top Superforecaster's Imminent Doom Scenario

“AI 2027” — Top Superforecaster's Imminent Doom Scenario



AI 2027, a bombshell new paper by the AI Futures Project, is a highly plausible scenario of the next few years of AI progress. I like this paper so much that I made a whole episode about it.

00:00 Ove…


Published on 4 months, 2 weeks ago

Top Economist Sees AI Doom Coming — Dr. Peter Berezin, BCA Research

Top Economist Sees AI Doom Coming — Dr. Peter Berezin, BCA Research



Dr. Peter Berezin is the Chief Global Strategist and Director of Research at BCA Research, the largest Canadian investment research firm. He’s known for his macroeconomics research reports and his fr…


Published on 4 months, 2 weeks ago

AI News: GPT-4o Images, AI Unemployment, Emmett Shear's New Safety Org — with Nathan Labenz

AI News: GPT-4o Images, AI Unemployment, Emmett Shear's New Safety Org — with Nathan Labenz



Nathan Labenz, host of The Cognitive Revolution, joins me for an AI news & social media roundup!

00:00 Introducing Nate

05:18 What’s Your P(Doom)™

23:22 GPT-4o Image Generation

40:20 Will Fiverr’s Stock …


Published on 4 months, 3 weeks ago





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