Podcast Episodes
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Will Trump Bring the River to Washington?
Season 1 Episode 29
Nate and Maria discuss the influence of Riverians like Elon Musk on the Trump Administration, and what’s next for Democrats looking ahead to 2026. Th…
1 year, 1 month ago
How Trump Won
Season 1 Episode 28
Nate and Maria take a closer look at the results of the election. They discuss polling errors, prediction markets, demographic shifts, and campaign s…
1 year, 2 months ago
What to Look for on Election Day
Season 1 Episode 27
On the day before the election, Nate gives a final model update, explains the latest polls, and talks about what he’ll be looking for on election day…
1 year, 2 months ago
The Worst Decisions of the Harris and Trump (and Biden) Campaigns
Season 1 Episode 26
What were the worst and best decisions of this year’s presidential campaigns? With less than a week to go, Nate and Maria look back at the key strate…
1 year, 2 months ago
Odd Lots: Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova on the Art of Election Betting
Season 1
Earlier this election cycle, Nate and Maria appeared on Odd Lots to talk about prediction markets and election betting. It was a fun conversation -- …
1 year, 2 months ago
How to build a championship team, with Daryl Morey of the 76ers
Season 1 Episode 25
This week, Nate and Maria talk to Daryl Morey of the Philadelphia 76ers about bringing game theory and probabilistic thinking to the NBA. And, of cou…
1 year, 2 months ago
How Maria Won Her First WSOP Bracelet
Season 1 Episode 24
Maria snagged her first World Series of Poker Bracelet! She and Nate break down her strategy on the crucial hands that got her the win. Then, we turn…
1 year, 2 months ago
The Degenerate Gambler’s Guide to the Election
Season 1 Episode 23
Nate and Maria give a degenerate gambler's guide to the election, covering everything from Nate’s $100k gamble on Florida to listener-inspired prop b…
1 year, 2 months ago
How to Win Bets and Influence Elections
Season 1 Episode 22
Caroline Ellison, the second most important person who worked at FTX, was sentenced to prison this week. Nate and Maria talk about how she and Sam Ba…
1 year, 3 months ago
Conning with the Stars: Anna Delvey, Voting Rationally, and the Maine Nebraska model
Season 1 Episode 21
Nate and Maria discuss Anna Sorokin’s (AKA Anna Delvey) spin on Dancing with the Stars. Then, they debate the merits and limits of voting in your sel…
1 year, 3 months ago