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Our Latest Thoughts on The Tiers of Fear, Earnings Season, and The Growth Trade
Season 9 Episode 5
The big things you need to know:
First, the stock market is still experiencing a growth scare, in our view, where it is attempting to stabilize. We see more downside if recession is priced in.
Second, …
Published on 5 months ago
The Most Important Things We've Written About The Past Few Days
Season 9 Episode 4
The big things you need to know:
First, shortly after midnight on Friday morning, we cut our S&P 500 EPS forecast for 2025 to $258 and our YE 2025 price target to 5,550 – the price target cut was some…Published on 5 months, 1 week ago
Crunch Time For The Consumer
Season 9 Episode 3
The big things you need to know:
The team tackles some of the top questions in consumer-related conversations today, including what their company and industry level interactions and data have been te…Published on 5 months, 2 weeks ago
The US Equity Market Exhales
Season 9 Episode 2
The big things you need to know:
First, trends in investor vibes were mixed last week, both in our quant work as well as last week’s investor conversations.Second, the median forward P/E for the S&P 5…Published on 5 months, 3 weeks ago
Walking Through The Math Behind Our Updated S&P 500 Forecasts
Season 9 Episode 1
The big things you need to know:
We’ve lowered our YE 2025 S&P 500 price target to 6,200 from 6,600,We’ve lowered our 2025 S&P 500 EPS forecast to $264 from $271.Among other adjustments, our new price…Published on 5 months, 4 weeks ago
Special Edition - A Conversation On The Equity Market Outlook
Season 8 Episode 25
RBC’s Markets in Motion is the weekly podcast from Lori Calvasina, Head of US Equity Strategy at RBC Capital Markets, highlighting her latest views on the US equity market. This week, we bring you a …
Published on 6 months ago
Drawdowns, Bear Case Stress Test, Vibes, Small Caps
Season 8 Episode 24
The big things you need to know: First, we review our basic framework for thinking about drawdowns in US equities, a topic that’s been coming up in client meetings over the past few weeks, as invest…
Published on 6 months, 1 week ago
Surveilling the Vibes
Season 8 Episode 23
The big things you need to know: First, we found more evidence of weakening investor and consumer vibes in last week’s data updates, while getting a mostly positive data point on corporate vibes, and…
Published on 6 months, 3 weeks ago
Treading Water
Season 8 Episode 22
The big things you need to know: First, there was very little change last week in the stats we monitor to track reporting season, aside from the continued drift lower in the bottom-up consensus 2025 …
Published on 6 months, 4 weeks ago
Uncertainty Dents Optimism
Season 8 Episode 21
The big things you need to know: The big things you need to know: First, the earnings backdrop has softened a bit on the stats for the broader US equity market, and has also justified the rotation in…
Published on 7 months ago