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"Self-driving car bets" by paulfchristiano

This month I lost a bunch of bets.

Back in early 2016 I bet at even odds that self-driving ride sharing would be available in 10 US cities by July 202…

2 years, 6 months ago

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"Cultivating a state of mind where new ideas are born" by Henrik Karlsson

In the early 2010s, a popular idea was to provide coworking spaces and shared living to people who were building startups. That way the founders woul…

2 years, 6 months ago

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"Rationality !== Winning" by Raemon

I think "Rationality is winning" is a bit of a trap. 

(The original phrase is notably "rationality is systematized winning", which is better, but it t…

2 years, 6 months ago

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"Brain Efficiency Cannell Prize Contest Award Ceremony" by Alexander Gietelink Oldenziel

Previously Jacob Cannell wrote the post "Brain Efficiency" which makes several radical claims: that the brain is at the pareto frontier of speed, ene…

2 years, 6 months ago

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"Grant applications and grand narratives" by Elizabeth

The Lightspeed application asks:  “What impact will [your project] have on the world? What is your project’s goal, how will you know if you’ve achiev…

2 years, 6 months ago

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"Cryonics and Regret" by MvB

This post is not about arguments in favor of or against cryonics. I would just like to share a particular emotional response of mine as the topic bec…

2 years, 6 months ago

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"Unifying Bargaining Notions (2/2)" by Diffractor

Alright, time for the payoff, unifying everything discussed in the previous post. This post is a lot more mathematically dense, you might want to dig…

2 years, 8 months ago

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"The ants and the grasshopper" by Richard Ngo

Inspired by Aesop, Soren Kierkegaard, Robin Hanson, sadoeuphemist and Ben Hoffman.

One winter a grasshopper, starving and frail, approaches a colony o…

2 years, 8 months ago

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"Steering GPT-2-XL by adding an activation vector" by TurnTrout et al.

Summary: We demonstrate a new scalable way of interacting with language models: adding certain activation vectors into forward passes. Essentially, w…

2 years, 9 months ago

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"An artificially structured argument for expecting AGI ruin" by Rob Bensinger

Philosopher David Chalmers asked: "Is there a canonical source for "the argument for AGI ruin" somewhere, preferably laid out as an explicit argument…

2 years, 9 months ago

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