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“VDT: a solution to decision theory” by L Rudolf L

Introduction

Decision theory is about how to behave rationally under conditions of uncertainty, especially if this uncertainty involves being acausa…

1 year, 6 months ago

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“LessWrong has been acquired by EA” by habryka

Dear LessWrong community,

It is with a sense of... considerable cognitive dissonance that I announce a significant development regarding the future …

1 year, 6 months ago

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“We’re not prepared for an AI market crash” by Remmelt

Our community is not prepared for an AI crash. We're good at tracking new capability developments, but not as much the company financials. Currently…

1 year, 6 months ago

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“Conceptual Rounding Errors” by Jan_Kulveit

Epistemic status: Reasonably confident in the basic mechanism.

Have you noticed that you keep encountering the same ideas over and over? You read an…

1 year, 6 months ago

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“Tracing the Thoughts of a Large Language Model” by Adam Jermyn

[This is our blog post on the papers, which can be found at https://transformer-circuits.pub/2025/attribution-graphs/biology.html and https://transf…

1 year, 6 months ago

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“Recent AI model progress feels mostly like bullshit” by lc

About nine months ago, I and three friends decided that AI had gotten good enough to monitor large codebases autonomously for security problems. We …

1 year, 6 months ago

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“AI for AI safety” by Joe Carlsmith

(Audio version here (read by the author), or search for "Joe Carlsmith Audio" on your podcast app.

This is the fourth essay in a series that I’m call…

1 year, 6 months ago

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“Policy for LLM Writing on LessWrong” by jimrandomh

LessWrong has been receiving an increasing number of posts and contents that look like they might be LLM-written or partially-LLM-written, so we're …

1 year, 6 months ago

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“Will Jesus Christ return in an election year?” by Eric Neyman

Thanks to Jesse Richardson for discussion.

Polymarket asks: will Jesus Christ return in 2025?



In the three days since the market opened, traders ha…

1 year, 6 months ago

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“Good Research Takes are Not Sufficient for Good Strategic Takes” by Neel Nanda

TL;DR Having a good research track record is some evidence of good big-picture takes, but it's weak evidence. Strategic thinking is hard, and requir…

1 year, 6 months ago

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