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“Laziness death spirals” by PatrickDFarley

I’ve claimed that Willpower compounds and that small wins in the present make it easier to get bigger wins in the future. Unfortunately, procrastinat…

1 year, 6 months ago

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“‘Slow’ takeoff is a terrible term for ‘maybe even faster takeoff, actually’” by Raemon

For a long time, when I heard "slow takeoff", I assumed it meant "takeoff that takes longer calendar time than fast takeoff." (i.e. what is now refer…

1 year, 6 months ago

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“ASIs will not leave just a little sunlight for Earth ” by Eliezer Yudkowsky

A common claim among e/accs is that, since the solar system is big, Earth will be left alone by superintelligences. A simple rejoinder is that just b…

1 year, 6 months ago

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“Skills from a year of Purposeful Rationality Practice ” by Raemon

A year ago, I started trying to deliberate practice skills that would "help people figure out the answers to confusing, important questions." I exper…

1 year, 6 months ago

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“How I started believing religion might actually matter for rationality and moral philosophy ” by zhukeepa

After the release of Ben Pace's extended interview with me about my views on religion, I felt inspired to publish more of my thinking about religion …

1 year, 6 months ago

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“Did Christopher Hitchens change his mind about waterboarding? ” by Isaac King

There's a popular story that goes like this: Christopher Hitchens used to be in favor of the US waterboarding terrorists because he though it's wasn'…

1 year, 7 months ago

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“The Great Data Integration Schlep ” by sarahconstantin

Midjourney, “Fourth Industrial Revolution Digital Transformation”This is a little rant I like to give, because it's something I learned on the job th…

1 year, 7 months ago

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“Contra papers claiming superhuman AI forecasting ” by nikos, Peter Mühlbacher, Lawrence Phillips, dschwarz

[Conflict of interest disclaimer: We are FutureSearch, a company working on AI-powered forecasting and other types of quantitative reasoning. If thin…

1 year, 7 months ago

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“OpenAI o1 ” by Zach Stein-Perlman

This is a link post. ---

First published:
September 12th, 2024

Source:
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/bhY5a…

1 year, 7 months ago

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“The Best Lay Argument is not a Simple English Yud Essay ” by J Bostock

Epistemic status: these are my own opinions on AI risk communication, based primarily on my own instincts on the subject and discussions with people …

1 year, 7 months ago

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