Podcast Episodes
Back to Search"Precedents for the Unprecedented: Historical Analogies for Thirteen Artificial Superintelligence Risks" by James_Miller
Since artificial superintelligence has never existed, claims that it poses a serious risk of global catastrophe can be easy to dismiss as fearmonger…
1 month, 1 week ago
"Why we are excited about confession!" by boazbarak, Gabriel Wu, Manas Joglekar
Boaz Barak, Gabriel Wu, Jeremy Chen, Manas Joglekar
[Linkposting from the OpenAI alignment blog, where we post more speculative/technical/informal …
1 month, 1 week ago
"Backyard cat fight shows Schelling points preexist language" by jchan
Two cats fighting for control over my backyard appear to have settled on a particular chain-link fence as the delineation between their territories.…
1 month, 1 week ago
"How AI Is Learning to Think in Secret" by Nicholas Andresen
On Thinkish, Neuralese, and the End of Readable Reasoning
In September 2025, researchers published the internal monologue of OpenAI's GPT-o3 as it d…
1 month, 2 weeks ago
"On Owning Galaxies" by Simon Lermen
It seems to be a real view held by serious people that your OpenAI shares will soon be tradable for moons and galaxies. This includes eminent thinke…
1 month, 2 weeks ago
"AI Futures Timelines and Takeoff Model: Dec 2025 Update" by elifland, bhalstead, Alex Kastner, Daniel Kokotajlo
We’ve significantly upgraded our timelines and takeoff models! It predicts when AIs will reach key capability milestones: for example, Automated Cod…
1 month, 3 weeks ago
"In My Misanthropy Era" by jenn
For the past year I've been sinking into the Great Books via the Penguin Great Ideas series, because I wanted to be conversant in the Great Conversa…
1 month, 3 weeks ago
"2025 in AI predictions" by jessicata
Past years: 2023 2024
Continuing a yearly tradition, I evaluate AI predictions from past years, and collect a convenience sample of AI predictions m…
1 month, 3 weeks ago
"Good if make prior after data instead of before" by dynomight
They say you’re supposed to choose your prior in advance. That's why it's called a “prior”. First, you’re supposed to say say how plausible differen…
2 months ago
"Measuring no CoT math time horizon (single forward pass)" by ryan_greenblatt
A key risk factor for scheming (and misalignment more generally) is opaque reasoning ability.One proxy for this is how good AIs are at solving math …
2 months ago