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“Explaining British Naval Dominance During the Age of Sail” by Arjun Panickssery

The other day I discussed how high monitoring costs can explain the emergence of “aristocratic” systems of governance:

Aristocracy and Hostage Capit…

11 months ago

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“Eliezer and I wrote a book: If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies” by So8res

Eliezer and I wrote a book. It's titled If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies. Unlike a lot of other writing either of us have done, it's being profess…

11 months ago

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“Too Soon” by Gordon Seidoh Worley

It was a cold and cloudy San Francisco Sunday. My wife and I were having lunch with friends at a Korean cafe.

My phone buzzed with a text. It said m…

11 months ago

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“PSA: The LessWrong Feedback Service” by JustisMills

At the bottom of the LessWrong post editor, if you have at least 100 global karma, you may have noticed this button.

The button Many people click the…

11 months ago

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“Orienting Toward Wizard Power” by johnswentworth

For months, I had the feeling: something is wrong. Some core part of myself had gone missing.

I had words and ideas cached, which pointed back to th…

11 months, 1 week ago

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“Interpretability Will Not Reliably Find Deceptive AI” by Neel Nanda

(Disclaimer: Post written in a personal capacity. These are personal hot takes and do not in any way represent my employer's views.)

TL;DR: I do not…

11 months, 1 week ago

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“Slowdown After 2028: Compute, RLVR Uncertainty, MoE Data Wall” by Vladimir_Nesov

It'll take until ~2050 to repeat the level of scaling that pretraining compute is experiencing this decade, as increasing funding can't sustain the …

11 months, 2 weeks ago

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“Early Chinese Language Media Coverage of the AI 2027 Report: A Qualitative Analysis” by jeanne_, eeeee

In this blog post, we analyse how the recent AI 2027 forecast by Daniel Kokotajlo, Scott Alexander, Thomas Larsen, Eli Lifland, and Romeo Dean has b…

11 months, 2 weeks ago

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[Linkpost] “Jaan Tallinn’s 2024 Philanthropy Overview” by jaan

This is a link post. to follow up my philantropic pledge from 2020, i've updated my philanthropy page with the 2024 results.

in 2024 my donations fun…

11 months, 3 weeks ago

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“Impact, agency, and taste” by benkuhn

I’ve been thinking recently about what sets apart the people who’ve done the best work at Anthropic.

You might think that the main thing that makes …

11 months, 3 weeks ago

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