Podcast Episodes
Back to Search“My AGI timeline updates from GPT-5 (and 2025 so far)” by ryan_greenblatt
As I discussed in a prior post, I felt like there were some reasonably compelling arguments for expecting very fast AI progress in 2025 (especially …
11 months ago
“Hyperbolic model fits METR capabilities estimate worse than exponential model” by gjm
This is a response to https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/mXa66dPR8hmHgndP5/hyperbolic-trend-with-upcoming-singularity-fits-metr which claims that a hyp…
11 months ago
“My Interview With Cade Metz on His Reporting About Lighthaven” by Zack_M_Davis
On 12 August 2025, I sat down with New York Times reporter Cade Metz to discuss some criticisms of his 4 August 2025 article, "The Rise of Silicon V…
11 months, 1 week ago
“Church Planting: When Venture Capital Finds Jesus” by Elizabeth
I’m going to describe a Type Of Guy starting a business, and you’re going to guess the business:
The founder is very young, often under 25. He mig…
11 months, 1 week ago
“Somebody invented a better bookmark” by Alex_Altair
This will only be exciting to those of us who still read physical paper books. But like. Guys. They did it. They invented the perfect bookmark.
Clas…
11 months, 1 week ago
“How Does A Blind Model See The Earth?” by henry
Sometimes I'm saddened remembering that we've viewed the Earth from space. We can see it all with certainty: there's no northwest passage to search …
11 months, 1 week ago
“Re: Recent Anthropic Safety Research” by Eliezer Yudkowsky
A reporter asked me for my off-the-record take on recent safety research from Anthropic. After I drafted an off-the-record reply, I realized that I …
11 months, 1 week ago
“How anticipatory cover-ups go wrong” by Kaj_Sotala
1.
Back when COVID vaccines were still a recent thing, I witnessed a debate that looked like something like the following was happening:
Some offic…
11 months, 2 weeks ago
“SB-1047 Documentary: The Post-Mortem” by Michaël Trazzi
Below some meta-level / operational / fundraising thoughts around producing the SB-1047 Documentary I've just posted on Manifund (see previous Lessw…
11 months, 2 weeks ago
“METR’s Evaluation of GPT-5” by GradientDissenter
METR (where I work, though I'm cross-posting in a personal capacity) evaluated GPT-5 before it was externally deployed. We performed a much more com…
11 months, 2 weeks ago