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"If Mythos actually made Anthropic employees 4x more productive, I would radically shorten my timelines" by ryan_greenblatt

Anthropic's system card for Mythos Preview says:

It's unclear how we should interpret this. What do they mean by productivity uplift? To what exten…

5 months, 1 week ago

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"Do not be surprised if LessWrong gets hacked" by RobertM

Or, for that matter, anything else.

This post is meant to be two things:

a PSA about LessWrong's current security posture, from a LessWrong admin[1]…

5 months, 2 weeks ago

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"My picture of the present in AI" by ryan_greenblatt

In this post, I'll go through some of my best guesses for the current situation in AI as of the start of April 2026. You can think of this as a scen…

5 months, 2 weeks ago

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"The effects of caffeine consumption do not decay with a ~5 hour half-life" by kman

epistemic status: confident in the overall picture, substantial quantitative uncertainty about the relative potency of caffeine and paraxanthine

tld…

5 months, 2 weeks ago

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"AIs can now often do massive easy-to-verify SWE tasks and I’ve updated towards shorter timelines" by ryan_greenblatt

I've recently updated towards substantially shorter AI timelines and much faster progress in some areas. [1] The largest updates I've made are (1) …

5 months, 2 weeks ago

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"dark ilan" by ozymandias

The second time Vellam uncovers the conspiracy underlying all of society, he approaches a Keeper.

Some of the difference is convenience. Since Vella…

5 months, 2 weeks ago

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"Dispatch from Anthropic v. Department of War Preliminary Injunction Motion Hearing" by Zack_M_Davis

Dateline SAN FRANCISCO, Ca., 24 March 2026— A hearing was held on a motion for a preliminary injunction in the case of Anthropic PBC v. U.S. Departm…

5 months, 2 weeks ago

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"The Corner-Stone" by Benquo

Is the US a ruthless cognitive meritocracy that reliably promotes outlier talent? VB Knives defended that claim in a Twitter argument against Living…

5 months, 2 weeks ago

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"The Practical Guide to Superbabies" by GeneSmith

It's Summer of 2025. I’m standing in a grass covered field on the longest day of the year. A friend of mine walks towards me, holding his newborn so…

5 months, 2 weeks ago

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"Anthropic’s Pause is the Most Expensive Alarm in Corporate History" by Ruby

Imagine Apple halting iPhone production because studies linked smartphones to teen suicide rates. Imagine Pfizer proactively pulling Lipitor because…

5 months, 3 weeks ago

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