Podcast Episodes

Trading Trump 2.0

Alf and Brent resume the show by assessing how to approach Trump 2.0 from a macro trading perspective in 2025. They also discuss the ''Death of Europe'': is it happening, or is it an overcrowded narr…

Published on 9 months ago

Trump's Secret Agenda

In this week's episode, Brent and Alf discuss the implications of a Republican sweep. Markets reacted in a textbook way, but today they are busy unwinding most ''Trump trades''. Should we take Trump'…

Published on 10 months ago

The Bond Market Is On Fire

Heading into US elections, US bond markets are on fire: yields are selling off, the term premium is back in positive territory, and investors are worried the sell-off can extend further.

Alf and Brent…

Published on 10 months, 2 weeks ago

Financial Repression Is Here To Stay

Alf and Brent discuss the recent sharp moves in US election polls and betting markets: Trump's odds are moving up, and so are the odds of a Red Sweep. Is the market fully incorporating these odds? Al…

Published on 10 months, 3 weeks ago

What If The Fed Made a Mistake?

Alf and Brent discuss the most recent US macro data releases: the hurricane impacted jobless claims, and core inflation has surprised to the upside. Trump now seems to decidedly lead the polls, and h…

Published on 10 months, 4 weeks ago

Macro Risks On The Horizon

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Published on 11 months ago

Unpacking The Chinese Stimulus Bazooka

The Chinese stimulus bazooka has been fired.

Chinese authorities have announced aggressive interest rate cuts, a 1 trillion yuan capital injection for Chinese banks, and they 

are also mentioning the m…

Published on 11 months, 1 week ago

How To Trade The Fed Cutting Cycle

Alf and Brent discuss the jumbo 50 bps Fed cut and the nuances Powell shared during the press conference. They look at historical parallels to derive how to best approach different asset classes with…

Published on 11 months, 2 weeks ago

The World is Different Now

Alf and Brent discuss similarities and differences between the world and the macro cycle today versus the pre-pandemic period. While the cycle might look similar, should we not pay attention to the s…

Published on 11 months, 3 weeks ago

Will The Fed Cut by 25 or 50 bps?

Alf and Brent discuss recent developments in macro and labor market data, and debate whether the Fed will cut by 25 or 50 bps in September. Is the bond market overestimating the amount of upcoming cu…

Published on 1 year ago