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Outlook 2021: The Hazmat Recovery


Episode 6


Michael Cembalest’s views on what will drive markets and the economy in 2021, as well as the challenges we face that stimulus and vaccines can’t solve.


Published on 5 years ago

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Holiday Eye on the Market: The Winter of Our Discontent


Episode 5


The belief in election illegitimacy is spreading faster than COVID. With field reporting from Alexander Fleming, Rutherford B Hayes, Richard III, Bob Newhart and the Attorney General of Ohio.


Published on 5 years ago

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The Armageddonists, Revisited


Episode 4


The Armageddonists were not rescued from underperformance purgatory by COVID, and markets are at all-time highs again with prospects for further gains in 2021.   However, I can think of something tha…


Published on 5 years, 1 month ago

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Quiet Flows the Don


Episode 3


For the first time in 100 years, a challenger unseated an incumbent President at a time of strong economic and market tailwinds. However, the election delivered a clearer referendum on the President …


Published on 5 years, 1 month ago

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Buckle Up


Episode 2


The problem with states that do not allow pre-election processing of absentee ballots; a COVID Rorschach test; Trump and Biden deficit explosions, equity market impacts and trends that are being pric…


Published on 5 years, 2 months ago

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Election 2020 - Praying for Time


Episode 1


The election as referendum on America: how well does the “system” work, and for whom?


Published on 5 years, 3 months ago

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The Needle and the Damage Done



The cost of engineering a US recovery as the world waits for a vaccine; Biden agenda on taxes/spending; Tech stocks (2020 vs 1999); COVID and The Fountainhead; US election rules, dates and process in…


Published on 5 years, 3 months ago

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COVID Research: Charts of the Week (August 17)



US virus decline plateaus; UK is a long way from herd immunity; A post-COVID US housing shift to less dense locations with cheaper land; Lost in Translation: T-cell knowns and unknowns, and financial…


Published on 5 years, 4 months ago

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COVID Research: Charts of the Week



US infection plateau; Liz Cheney; Hong Kong’s reaction to a mini second wave; Phase I Oxford vaccine antibody response; US spending and hospitalization trends; an update on infections in US hotspots …


Published on 5 years, 5 months ago

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Blinded by Science: the US recovery, virus surge and scientific trust gap



US recovery marches on; why deaths are diverging from sharply rising infections; the American scientific trust gap vs the rest of the world; energy paper client Q&A.


Published on 5 years, 5 months ago





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