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Global Data Pod Weekender: Let me count the ways

Episode 354

Our global forecast looks for a sharp slowing in growth in the coming months, concentrated in the US. Despite this contrasting with the more benign o…

10 months, 1 week ago

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Global Data Pod Weekender: Taking stock at midyear

Episode 353

We published our midyear outlook this week, highlighting expectations for a significant stagflationary shift in 2H25 and our limited confidence in fo…

10 months, 3 weeks ago

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Global Data Pod Weekender: You can get there from here

Episode 352

The first half is tracking roughly in line with our trend-like outlook just ahead of the US election last year. However, 2H25 should deliver a very d…

11 months ago

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Global Data Pod Weekender: Gauging the coming slowdown

Episode 351

The drags on global growth related to the trade war are building but there remains considerable uncertainty around the timing and magnitude of the co…

11 months, 1 week ago

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Global Data Pod Research Rap: Inflation Monitor: Tariff impact delayed but not denied

Episode 350

Nora Szentivanyi is joined by Michael Hanson and Raphael Brun-Aguerre to discuss key takeaways from the May CPI reports and the outlook for the rest …

11 months, 1 week ago

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Global Data Pod Weekender: Identification in the time of front-loading

Episode 349

The global economy looks to be posting trend-like growth in 1H25. How much of this is underlying resilience in a healthy expansion and how much is tr…

11 months, 2 weeks ago

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Global Data Pod Weekender: Not so fast on the off-ramp

Episode 348

Bruce Kasman is joined by Joe Lupton to discuss their view that hopes of a court-led off-ramp to the US war on trade are overstated. They maintain th…

11 months, 3 weeks ago

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Global Data Pod Weekender: A whole lotta shakin’ goin’ on

Episode 347

Our forecasts are in flux as a result of uncertainty around the transmission of the trade war shock and the potential for more policy surprises. That…

11 months, 4 weeks ago

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Global Data Pod Weekender: Short-term pain? No way

Episode 346

The increased risks of recession and signs of significant disruptions in the goods market have likely played a role in getting the US to back off its…

1 year ago

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Global Data Pod Weekender: Threat assessment

Episode 345

The hard activity data continue to show resilient growth in the first four months of the year. We maintain our recession call owing to 1) front-loadi…

1 year ago

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