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Momentum, Forward Returns, Investor Behavior, and Credit Liquidity
Episode 23
Market Breadth: NYSE advancers outpaced decliners 4-to-1, suggesting resilience beneath the equity rally (SentimenTrader).
Macro Signals: Inflation remains domestically driven; Fed unlikely to cut qui…
Published on 2 months, 3 weeks ago
Positioning in Core Bonds and Emerging Markets
Episode 22
Topics Covered:
Portfolio construction in today’s macro climate — balancing risk, correlations, and tracking error.
Credit market health — Morningstar DBRS and Proskauer data show improving leverage, c…
Published on 2 months, 4 weeks ago
Speculation Rising, Breadth Weakening: A Tactical Rebalance
Episode 21
This week’s episode covers:
U.S.–EU trade deal impact and the new 15% tariff baselineMargin debt surges—5th fastest rise since 1998 (source: Deutsche Bank)Fed and ECB hold steady, but tone remains cau…Published on 3 months ago
Earnings, Meme Stocks, and Macro Signals
Episode 20
This week’s topics include:
✅ U.S.–Japan trade deal and what it means for global risk sentiment
📊 Q2 earnings beat expectations—but growth is slowing
📈 Meme stocks signal renewed retail risk appetite
🏦 C…
Published on 3 months, 1 week ago
Russia's Energy Dominance and Implications for Europe
Episode 19
Today, we explore global energy through the lens of Russia, the world’s largest exporter of oil and gas. And to the west is Europe, which is heavily reliant on Russian gas supplies. According to some…
Published on 3 years, 5 months ago
Commodity Market Update, 2Q 2022
Episode 18
Most price signals have extended into overbought territory, although pullbacks could be temporary over the next quarter. Elsewhere, metals have stabilized and oversold signals could present buying o…
Published on 3 years, 7 months ago
Investing During Geopolitical Conflict and Rising Rates
Episode 17
In the December podcast, we warned that 2022 could resemble 2018 – a year when the Federal Reserve tried to taper, which triggered a mini stock market crash. And now, we start the year with great tur…
Published on 3 years, 7 months ago
Carry Trades and Volatility Shocks
Episode 16
Tim explains that carry trades (borrowing at low interest rates to finance higher-yield investments, and assuming market stability), are behind recurring booms and busts. Tim and his fellow authors a…
Published on 3 years, 8 months ago
Commodity Market Update, 1Q 2022
Episode 15
Commodity rally appears overbought, expect some pullbacks
The commodity price rally appears to be slowing, which could point to lower returns this year. Several overbought signals were confirmed over …
Published on 3 years, 10 months ago
Venture Capital Investing with Lydia Idem
Episode 14
FM Capital Group website
Twitter: faithmight
Lydia's LinkedIn
Show notes
We discussed Lydia's background in computer science and how she pivoted into trading and investing.Lydia started blogging and eng…Published on 3 years, 10 months ago