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Credit crunch is spreading throughout Europe, already reaching deflationary crisis proportions.
Credit crunch is spreading throughout Europe, already reaching deflationary crisis proportions.

Episode 483

Oil can't catch a sustained bid, too easily falling right back into contango. With the US debt ceiling agreement (in principle), rates markets worldw…

2 years, 10 months ago

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It's the incomes, stupid.
It's the incomes, stupid.

Episode 482

Everyone loves GDP including the government agency which calculates it. Even so, GDI has been a more useful signal for cyclical changes, particularly…

2 years, 10 months ago

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Why it is always the government for these things.
Why it is always the government for these things.

Episode 481

Structural inflation or something else. To mainstream Economists, consumer prices are being driven by structural forces such as demographics, oil pro…

2 years, 10 months ago

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An escalating series of monetary tremors still shaking the eurodollar's world.
An escalating series of monetary tremors still shaking the eurodollar's world.

Episode 480

Trying to figure out the state of the economy and monetary system by looking backward through consumer price estimates is, well, backward. To underst…

2 years, 10 months ago

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It is going to get a lot worse before any chance of getting better.
It is going to get a lot worse before any chance of getting better.

Episode 479

German GDP revisions show the country already mired in recession despite the government's assurances there wouldn't be one. And to reemphasize the gl…

2 years, 10 months ago

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Why there is so much near-certainty about the worst case.
Why there is so much near-certainty about the worst case.

Episode 478

The deflationary wave sweeping the global system isn't one thing or another, it is becoming all the things everywhere. That's what makes such a compe…

2 years, 10 months ago

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Supply cuts just can't keep up with banking crisis, recession, and now unleashed dollar "bull."
Supply cuts just can't keep up with banking crisis, recession, and now unleashed dollar "bull."

Episode 477

Saudi Arabia's oil minister implicitly threatened more action from OPEC due to "low" prices and growing short positions betting against supply constr…

2 years, 10 months ago

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Proving once again it's the Euro$'s world. When it goes bad, there's nothing to do but lie.
Proving once again it's the Euro$'s world. When it goes bad, there's nothing to do but lie.

Episode 476

The LIBOR scandal won't go away because it hasn't been properly identified. Govts and officials have alleged it was banks who misbehaved when all alo…

2 years, 10 months ago

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With deposits still falling, govt/Wall St trying desperately to figure out what to do.
With deposits still falling, govt/Wall St trying desperately to figure out what to do.

Episode 475

Treasury Secretary Yellen held talks with major Wall Street CEOs and bank advisors, raising the subject of further bank mergers. Though that part of …

2 years, 10 months ago

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Banks disclosed the "trigger for systemic risk" as they see it from the inside. It's not rate hikes.
Banks disclosed the "trigger for systemic risk" as they see it from the inside. It's not rate hikes.

Episode 474

Everyone remotely familiar with banking over the last few years knows there's systemic risk and it starts with commercial real estate (CRE). The Fed'…

2 years, 11 months ago

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