Podcast Episodes
Back to SearchDesperately Trying To Fathom The Coffeepocalypse Argument
One of the most common arguments against AI safety is:
Here’s an example of a time someone was worried about something, but it didn’t happen. Theref…
2 years, 3 months ago
Contra Hanson On Medical Effectiveness
Robin Hanson of Overcoming Bias more or less believes medicine doesn’t work [EDIT: see his response here, where he says this is an inaccurate summary…
2 years, 3 months ago
Ye Olde Bay Area House Party
[previously in series: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5]
When that April with his sunlight fierce
The rainy winter of the coast doth pierce
And filleth every spirit wit…
2 years, 3 months ago
Updates on Lumina Probiotic
Lumina, the genetically modified anti-tooth-decay bacterium that I wrote about in December, is back in the news after lowering its price from $20,000…
2 years, 3 months ago
Highlights From The Comments On The Lab Leak Debate
Original post here. Table of contents below. I want to especially highlight three things.
First, Saar wrote a response to my post (and to zoonosis ar…
2 years, 4 months ago
Links For April 2024
[I haven’t independently verified each link. On average, commenters will end up spotting evidence that around two or three of the links in each links…
2 years, 4 months ago
Spring Meetups Everywhere 2024
Many cities have regular Astral Codex Ten meetup groups. Twice a year, I try to advertise their upcoming meetups and make a bigger deal of it than…
2 years, 4 months ago
Practically-A-Book Review: Rootclaim $100,000 Lab Leak Debate
Saar Wilf is an ex-Israeli entrepreneur. Since 2016, he’s been developing a new form of reasoning, meant to transcend normal human bias.
His method -…
2 years, 4 months ago
In Continued Defense Of Non-Frequentist Probabilities
It’s every blogger’s curse to return to the same arguments again and again. Matt Yglesias has to keep writing “maybe we should do popular things inst…
2 years, 4 months ago
The Mystery Of Internet Survey IQs
I have data from two big Internet surveys, Less Wrong 2014 and Clearer Thinking 2023. Both asked questions about IQ:
The average LessWronger report…
2 years, 5 months ago