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Ep. 382: Shahin Vallée on French Political Risk, Le Pen's Rise, and European Bond Spreads

Ep. 382: Shahin Vallée on French Political Risk, Le Pen's Rise, and European Bond Spreads

Episode 382 Published 14 hours ago
Description

Shahin Vallée is a former advisor to the President of the European Council (Herman Van Rompuy) and to the French Minister of Economy (Emmanuel Macron). He is also a researcher in political economy at DGAP (German Council on Foreign Relations) and a leading economic and political analyst. In this podcast, we discuss:

  1. French Budget vs. Political Crisis
  2. The Far-Right vs. Far-Left Runoff Scenario
  3. French Polling Mechanics & Constituency-Level Risks
  4. Le Pen's Fiscal Rule & Brussels Confrontation
  5. Mélenchon's Surge & Centrist Fragmentation
  6. General Election Scenarios & Governance Gridlock
  7. ECB Interventions & German Political Friction
  8. 2027 ECB Leadership Transition & European Risks
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