Episode Details

Five days before the vote, with polls putting Netanyahu's bloc anywhere from the mid-forties to sixty-two depending on who you read, this episode throws out the forecasting models and does it by hand. Two hosts build complete 120-seat tables independently — Corn nudging the mainstream average, Herman betting the pollsters are missing the same voters they missed in 2022 — and then argue over every seat that separates them. Along the way: why Shas is the hinge, whether new lists like Yashar get over-polled, what happens when the largest list and the most able coalition are two different things, and how the prediction markets price it all. Episode 6204 — myweirdprompts.com/n/6204 (permanent short link: myweirdprompts.com/037677)