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Waning vaccine efficacy in the UK
Description
Beijing, 70 cases since Friday
Uploaded 26-04-22
Three P.C.R. tests over five days
zero Covid strategy
https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1070356/Vaccine-surveillance-report-week-16.pdf
Effectiveness against symptomatic disease
After 2 doses of the AstraZeneca
Against the Omicron variant
Starts at 45 to 50%
Drops to almost no effect, 25 weeks after the second dose
With 2 doses of Pfizer or Moderna
Effectiveness dropped from around 65 to 70%
Down to around 15% by 25 weeks after the second dose
Two to 4 weeks after a booster dose
Effectiveness ranges from around 60 to 75%
Dropping to almost no effect from 20+ weeks after the booster
Effectiveness against hospitalisation
Alpha and Delta variants
Higher levels of protection against hospitalisation with all vaccines
Omicron
18 to 64 year olds
All COVID-19 cases admitted via emergency care
VE after a booster peaked at 82.4%
Dropped to 53.6% by 15+ weeks after the booster
Needed oxygen/ventilated
VE 97.1% down to 75.9%
Also
Omicron generally causes milder disease,
in particular among younger individuals
All individuals who are hospitalised are tested for COVID-19
An increasing proportion of individuals hospitalised with a positive COVID- 19 test are likely to have COVID-19 as an incidental finding rather than the primary reason for admission.
All 3 vaccines give similar protection against hospitalisation
Effectiveness against mortality
Alpha and Delta
Over 90% protection against mortality with all 3 vaccines
Vaccine effectiveness against mortality with Omicron
At 25-plus weeks following the second dose,
vaccine effectiveness was around 60%
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