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USDA Preview + Another Round of Corn Belt Rain

Published 3ย weeks, 2ย days ago
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Grain Markets and Other Stuff Links โ€”

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Futures and options trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone.

๐ŸŒง๏ธ More Rain for the Corn Belt: Tropical Storm Isaias could bring 1โ€“4 inches of rain to parts of the southeastern Corn Belt, potentially delaying harvest and increasing flooding concerns in saturated areas. ๐ŸŒฝ๐ŸŒง๏ธ The rest of the Corn Belt should remain mostly dry, offering a better harvest window.ย 

๐Ÿ“Š USDA Report Friday: Traders expect USDA to lower corn yield and production estimates, while soybean yield and production are expected to remain unchanged. ๐ŸŒฝ Corn ending stocks are expected to rise, while soybean stocks decline slightly and wheat stocks edge higher.ย 

โ›ฝ Ethanol Production Rebounds: U.S. ethanol output jumped 4.6% last week to 1.05M barrels/day, while stocks fell 1% to 23.74M barrels. ๐Ÿ“ˆ Margins remain strong across the Corn Belt, ranging from breakeven to +40ยข/gal.ย 

๐Ÿ  Mortgage Rates Hit 3-Year High: The 30-year mortgage rate climbed to 7.49%, marking seven straight weeks of increases. ๐Ÿ“‰ Mortgage applications fell 4.2%, with overall volume now nearly 50% below January levels.ย 

๐Ÿฆ Fed Keeps Rate Hike on the Table: Fed officials still see another rate hike as likely before year-end, although the timing is uncertain. ๐Ÿ“ˆ Inflation remains above the 2% target, while rising energy costs and supply constraints could complicate the Fedโ€™s efforts to bring inflation lower.

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