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Rates spike, spreads diverge, and power infrastructure reshapes industrial

Rates spike, spreads diverge, and power infrastructure reshapes industrial

Season 1 Episode 109 Published 1 day, 14 hours ago
Description

Cole Perry and Omar Eltorai work through the latest economic data that's reshaping commercial real estate: labor weakening in office sectors, construction capital concentrating almost entirely in data centers, and the 10-year treasury closing at 5.29% - the highest since 2002. Credit spreads tell an interesting story, diverging sharply between investment-grade and high-yield. The back half dives into Cole's research on power infrastructure and industrial pricing: whether proximity to power generation actually moves property values, how that premium has shifted since 2022, and what it signals about where industrial demand is headed.

Key moments:

02:00 Labor data

05:30 Consumer confidence falling, personal savings at record lows

11:50 Treasury yields spike to 5.29%

13:40 K-shape in credit spreads

18:50 CRE sorting market

20:30 Fundamentals remain strong

28:00 Power infrastructure research

Resources:

Cole Perry - https://www.linkedin.com/in/coleperry1/

Omar Eltorai - https://www.linkedin.com/in/omareltorai/

S&P Cotality Case-Shiller Home Price Index - https://www.spglobal.com/spdji/en/index-announcements/article/sp-cotality-case-shiller-index-reports-annual-gain-in-july-2026/

Consumer Confidence - https://www.conference-board.org/topics/consumer-confidence/

Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) - https://www.bls.gov/news.release/jolts.nr0.htm

GDP (Third Estimate) - https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product

Personal Income and Outlays - https://www.bea.gov/news/2026/personal-income-and-outlays-august-2026

September Employment Situation - https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm

ADP National Employment Report - https://adpemploymentreport.com/

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