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#053 - Could Your Farm Survive El Nino? Run This Test.
Description
Grow your agribusiness with expert finance strategies, book a free consultation 👉 https://outlook.office.com/book/SeasonedFinance@seasonedfinance.com.au/?ismsaljsauthenabled
Most producers think the hardest part of a drought is when the season first turns dry. In reality, the biggest financial pressure often comes later, when stock numbers are down, income is lower and lenders become more conservative. In this episode, Brecken breaks down how to build a practical drought plan that protects cash flow, preserves options and gives you confidence in the years that follow.
◼️ Why destocking can create a false sense of financial security
◼️ How to forecast cash flow through the next 12–18 months
◼️ Building drought triggers, fallback options and facility headroom
◼️ Planning for herd rebuilds, lower income and lender reviews
◼️ Why written drought plans create better conversations with banks
Timestamps:
00:00:00 - Introduction
00:00:25 - Why Drought Cash Flow Can Be Misleading
00:01:23 - Forecasting the Next 12 to 18 Months
00:02:15 - Choosing Your Drought Strategy
00:03:07 - Adjustment vs Sell‑Down Decisions
00:03:31 - Setting Drought Triggers and Rules
00:03:51 - Building a Realistic Drought Cash Flow
00:04:23 - Talking to Your Lender Early
00:05:04 - Checking Facility Headroom
00:05:23 - Review Dates and Overdraft Pressure
00:05:58 - Managing Finance Through a Dry Period
00:06:47 - Writing Triggers and Fallback Plans
00:07:35 - Water Infrastructure and Resilience
00:08:18 - The Rebuild Is Often the Hardest Part
00:08:31 - Building a Complete Drought Plan
00:08:56 - Final Summary and Next Steps
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