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Harvest Pace Slips Below the Five-Year Average + Trump Expands Access to Off-Road Diesel

Published 3ย weeks, 4ย days ago
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๐ŸŒฝ U.S. Harvest Falling Behind: Corn harvest is 23% complete and soybeans 25%, both well below their five-year averages. Iowa and Nebraska are seeing the biggest delays, while winter wheat planting at 36% is also far behind average. ๐ŸŒพย 

๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ท Brazil Election Boosts Markets: Flavio Bolsonaro narrowly edged Lula in the first round, setting up a runoff later this month. Brazilian stocks jumped more than 8%, while the real posted its strongest one-day gain in four years. ๐Ÿ“ˆย 

๐ŸŒฑ Brazil Soy Planting Lags: Soybean planting is 7.3% complete, slightly behind last yearโ€™s pace, while AgRural raised its production estimate to a record 182.7 MMT. ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ทย 

๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ Middle East Oil Exports Rebound: Gulf oil exports returned to pre-war levels in September despite ongoing tanker attacks, though security risks could make the recovery difficult to sustain.ย 

๐Ÿšœ Red-Dyed Diesel Expanded: President Trump temporarily expanded access to tax-exempt off-road diesel for highway use through the end of 2026. Diesel prices remain elevated at $6.32/gallon, up 71% from a year ago. โ›ฝย 

๐Ÿšข Soybean Exports Stay Strong: U.S. soybean inspections totaled 1.1 MMT, up 45% from last year, with China accounting for about 66% of the week's shipments. Corn shipments fell 49% y/y. ๐ŸŒŽย 

๐Ÿ“ฆ Flash Sales: USDA reported sales of 129,540 MT of corn to Mexico and 104,000 MT of soybeans to unknown destinations for 2026/27 delivery.ย 

๐Ÿ„ Cargill Earnings Hit by Cattle Costs: Cargillโ€™s Q1 net income fell to $927 million, pressured by record-high cattle costs and rising cocoa prices. Its oilseed business was a bright spot, posting record soybean and canola profits. ๐Ÿ“‰

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