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UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Revisions, resilience, and affordability'
Published 1 week, 3 days ago
Description
The US employment report offered few reliable facts for investors, other than the reminder that data is revised a lot. If markets listened to economists with the reverence they deserve, that would not be a surprise. Markets were surprised—revisions suggest a weaker employment position. The sense of an affordability crisis is likely to be reinforced—wage growth after adjusting for inflation is near zero, and after adjusting for inflation perceptions is probably negative.