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BONUS: Colin's Daily SOS — October 1: Gemini’s comeback bid and the rate-hike maybe

Published 2 days, 16 hours ago
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Colin's Daily SOS is a daily bonus briefing from STARTUP or SHUTUP!

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Colin's Daily SOS — October 1

Google makes a fresh frontier-model push with Gemini 4 Argon, while softer inflation data reduces expectations for another 2026 Federal Reserve rate hike. We also cover AI oversight, Apple’s delayed smart-home hub, university accountability, and international developments.

Today’s sections

Google Gemini 4 Argon

The Rundown AI reports that Gemini 4 Argon led GPT-6 Astra and Claude Opus 5.5 on 13 of 19 Google benchmarks and reached the top of Arena’s text leaderboard. Access is currently limited to vetted cybersecurity teams. Bloomberg reporting, cited by The Rundown, says some Google employees questioned the model’s real-world coding performance; Google rejected that characterization.

Deeper reading: - Google: Gemini 4 Argon - Bloomberg report

These linked articles were not opened for this episode.

US interest rates

Morning Brew reports that August inflation came in below expectations while second-quarter GDP was revised higher. FedWatch odds of an October rate hike fell from 70% to 41.5% after the data, even as the 10-year Treasury yield reached a 24-year intraday high.

Deeper reading: - A second rate hike in 2026 looks far less certain - FedWatch - 10-year Treasury intraday high

These linked articles were not opened for this episode.

AI oversight and government policy

Morning Brew reports an FTC investigation into risks from OpenAI, Anthropic, and other AI companies. The Rundown AI reports that OpenAI, Google, Anthropic, Meta, Nvidia, and xAI signed a voluntary accord involving outside audits of leading models at a White House AI event.

Deeper reading: - The Rundown event coverage - Reported AI oversight accord

These linked articles were not opened for this episode.

Apple smart-home hub

Morning Brew reports that Apple plans to release a smart-home hub on October 13 after a delay, with improvements to its AI-powered Siri.

Deeper reading: - Apple smart-home hub

The linked article was not opened for this episode.

Universities and accountability

A Cornell case involving allegations against former fraternity members has prompted a reopened district-attorney investigation and a review by New York’s attorney general. Separately, Citadel founder Ken Griffin announced $2 billion for a Carnegie Mellon University campus in Miami and another $1 billion for its Pittsburgh campus.

Deeper reading: - Cornell case coverage - District attorney reopened the case -

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