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Session 14: The Dark Side of Valuation (Young companies)

Session 14: The Dark Side of Valuation (Young companies)

Published 2 weeks, 3 days ago
Description

In this class, we started on the dark side of valuation, where we value difficult-to-value companies. We started the valuaton of young, growth companies by emphasizing that you will be wrong 100% of the time and that it was okay, because the market is usually even more wrong. I argued that to to value a young company, you have to visualize what you see as success for it and work backwards to get the numbers by year, and adjust this valuation for the likelihood that the company will not make it. We then moved on to companies in transition and how you can arrive at two values for these companies: a status quo value and a changed-management value and how you have to take an expected value. We will continue on the dark side on Wednesday, starting with declining companies and moving through companies in different sectors.
Start of the class test: http://www.stern.nyu.edu/~adamodar/pdfiles/eqnotes/tests/dcfvaltests2.pdf
Slides: http://www.stern.nyu.edu/~adamodar/podcasts/valfall16/valsession14.pdf
Post class test: http://www.stern.nyu.edu/~adamodar/pdfiles/eqnotes/postclass/session14Btest.pdf
Post class test solution: http://www.stern.nyu.edu/~adamodar/pdfiles/eqnotes/postclass/session14Bsoln.pdf

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