Episode Details
Back to EpisodesGiants’ QB Injury Changed Everything—Jo Madden Says DON’T Chase the Under
Description
New quarterback. New number. New handicap.
In this short clip from Madden On The Line, host Jo Madden, Vice President of Sports Gaming Media at CrossCheck Media Inc., explains why the quarterback change for the New York Giants completely resets her approach to their Week 3 matchup against the Tennessee Titans.
With Jackson Dart out for the season according to the information discussed in the episode and Jameis Winston taking over the starting role, Jo says bettors should forget their original assumptions about the matchup. The market has already reacted dramatically, with the total dropping into the high 30s.
Jo's lean is toward Under 39.5, but there's a problem: the best value may already be gone.
Rather than chasing a total after such a significant move, Jo says she's staying away from both the Under and Over. She also isn't rushing to bet the side, given Tennessee's offensive struggles and the uncertainty surrounding what the Giants offense will look like with a different quarterback.
Instead, she's turning to the player-prop market.
Jo highlights Cam Scataboo's rushing yards, expecting the Giants to lean heavily on their running game and put Winston in a position to hand the football off against Tennessee.
The broader betting lesson is one Jo continues to emphasize throughout Week 3:
When the information changes, the handicap changes. Don't chase yesterday's number.
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