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Field Note #048 | CONFIDENCE TRAVELS FURTHER THAN ACCURACY
Season 1
Episode 1
Published 1 month, 1 week ago
Description
A confident answer can become accepted before anyone has properly verified it.
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This episode examines what happens when certainty travels faster than evidence, and why repeated claims can become increasingly established without becoming increasingly proven.
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Three questions provide the operating discipline:
~ What do we actually know?
~ What are we inferring?
~ What would change our mind?
Confidence can shape how information is delivered.
It cannot determine whether the information is true.
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