Episode Details

Week 3 could tell us a lot about which NFL teams are actually contenders — and which early-season starts we shouldn't believe just yet. Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier break down five of the biggest games of NFL Week 3, using FTN DVOA, playoff probabilities and early-season performance data to identify the matchups that could have the biggest impact on the playoff picture. 🏈 Texans at Colts Two 0-2 AFC South teams enter a game with major playoff implications. Houston and Indianapolis are both searching for their first win, making this one of the biggest early-season swing games on the schedule. 🏈 Patriots at Jaguars Drake Maye and New England are coming off their first win of the season, while Jacksonville tries to respond after letting a double-digit lead get away in Denver. Which 1-1 team takes the next step? 🏈 Ravens at Cowboys Two of the NFL's highest-rated offenses by DVOA meet in Dallas. Can Baltimore rebound from a fourth-quarter collapse, or will Dak Prescott and the Cowboys build off a four-touchdown Week 2 performance? 🏈 Raiders at Saints — The “For Real” Bowl Las Vegas enters 2-0 behind Kirk Cousins and a defense making plays in every phase. New Orleans just pulled off a dramatic comeback in Baltimore. It's time to find out how much of these early-season starts we should believe. 🏈 Rams at Broncos — Sunday Night Football Matthew Stafford and the Rams bounced back in a big way in Week 2, while Denver erased a double-digit deficit to earn its first victory. FTN's numbers see these teams very similarly entering a major prime-time matchup. Aaron and Mike break down DVOA, playoff swings, matchup advantages, Week 2 trends and the numbers that matter most heading into Week 3. Games covered: Texans at Colts Patriots at Jaguars Ravens at Cowboys Raiders at Saints Rams at Broncos Which Week 3 matchup tells us the most about who is actually for real? Subscribe for weekly NFL analysis from Aaron Schatz and Mike Tanier, including DVOA, playoff odds, projections and data-driven breakdowns throughout the 2026 season. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.