Episode Details

Munich's 2026 security conference adopted "Under Destruction" as its theme, reflecting anxiety about a fraying international order and uncertain transatlantic relations. The Shangri-La Dialogue in Singapore, meanwhile, was dominated by concerns about strategic competition, alliances and regional defense commitments.

慕尼黑2026年安全会议以“毁灭之下”（Under Destruction）为主题，反映出国际秩序日益脆弱以及跨大西洋关系不确定性加剧所带来的焦虑。与此同时，在新加坡举行的香格里拉对话会，则充斥着对战略竞争、联盟关系以及地区防务承诺的担忧。

Much of modern Western security thinking was forged in a world of rival European powers, colonial frontiers, industrial warfare and limited economic interdependence. It treats international anarchy and power competition as enduring facts, with alliances among like-minded states the bulwark to protect privileges.

现代西方安全理念，很大程度上形成于一个充满欧洲列强竞争、殖民边界争夺、工业化战争以及有限经济相互依赖的时代。这一理念将国际无政府状态和大国竞争视为长期存在的现实，并认为志同道合国家之间的联盟，是维护自身利益和优势的支柱。

NATO remains the clearest expression of this. But collective protection for alliance members is not the same as security for everyone. A system designed for the strategic anxieties of the Cold War cannot automatically answer the needs of a world in which threats and interests cross almost every border.

北约仍是这一理念最鲜明的体现。然而，联盟成员之间的集体防护，并不等同于所有国家都能获得安全。一个为冷战时期战略焦虑而设计的体系，无法自动回应这样一个世界的需求——在今天，威胁和利益几乎跨越所有国界相互交织。

Today's dangers do not respect cozy club membership. Climate change, pandemics, cyberattacks, supply-chain disruptions, terrorism and the risks associated with artificial intelligence are shared hazards. Economic globalization has made national prosperity dependent on distant markets, energy routes and production networks. A disruption in one region can quickly become inflation, unemployment or political instability in another.

当今世界面临的风险，并不会因为某些国家不属于特定“俱乐部”而避开它们。气候变化、疫情、网络攻击、供应链中断、恐怖主义，以及人工智能带来的风险，都是全人类共同面对的挑战。经济全球化使各国繁荣越来越依赖遥远的市场、能源通道和生产网络。一个地区的危机，很快可能演变为另一个地区的通货膨胀、失业或政治不稳定。

The 13th Beijing Xiangshan Forum, as illustrated by its theme — "Build Consensus on Stability, Advance Security Governance Together" — is less downbeat and more constructive than the Munich and Singapore security gatherings. Its agenda places the inclusion of developing countries in global rule-making, as well as AI governance and the security of maritime corridors and of cyber and outer space, alongside conventional questions of strategic stability.

Listen Now