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FIELD NOTE #041 | Every Forecast Competes With Evidence
Description
Forecasts describe expectations.
Operations generate evidence.
The two are supposed to work together.
Yet many organisations eventually experience a subtle form of drift.
The forecast remains familiar.
The evidence becomes increasingly difficult to reconcile.
In this episode, we explore Forecast Momentum: why expectations can outlast the evidence that originally supported them, how confidence can become detached from verification, and why one simple question may reveal more than an entire status update.
Reality is remarkably patient.
It rarely rushes the conversation.
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