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9-14-26 Is This Time Different for Stocks
Published 1 day, 9 hours ago
Description
Stock prices and corporate earnings are breaking trends that have held for roughly 90 years. Does artificial intelligence represent a fundamental change in the economy and markets, or are investors once again being tempted by the four most dangerous words in investing: “this time is different”?
Lance Roberts examines whether AI has truly changed the earnings equation, what today's valuations suggest about future returns, and why investors don't necessarily have to choose between being bullish and bearish.
0:00 INTRO
1:01 - FOMC Week; AI: To Pause or Not to Pause?
4:35 - Markets Still Stuck
9:47 - A look at Bond Flow Dynamics
13:49 - Why is Everyone Buying Longer Term Bonds?
14:31 - The TINA Trade
17:50 - The Primary Function of Bonds in a Portfolio: Safety
24:02 - Investment Psychology: Narrative and Greed
27:24 - The Gap Between Estimates and Reality
28:18 - The Truth About Compounding
31:29 - The Permanent Impairment of Capital
33:42 - Currency Debasement & Inflation
35:22 - How to Offset Risk of Inflation: Bonds vs Equities
37:25 - A portfolio is an Engine
38:41 - A Crisis Without a Calendar
41:36 - We're at the Tail End of a Secular Bull Market
43:54 - Investing in Lead & Beans
44:50 - Why We Prefer Optimism
Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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Watch today's Before the Bell report, "Don’t Overreact to Today’s Tech Selloff,"
https://youtu.be/mE2qTZl5Pf8
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Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel:
https://youtube.com/live/GNSmdq5nH2o
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Watch our previous show, "Can the FIRE Movement Really Work?"
https://www.youtube.com/live/HummvRArByg?si=EZBAImkZqNESj9uh
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Articles mentioned in this report:
"Weak Buyback & Strong Auctions: Bullish Signals For Bonds"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/weak-buyback-strong-auctions-bullish-signals-for-bonds/
"This Time Is Different? Earnings and Price Break 90-Year Trends"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/is-this-time-different-earnings-and-price-break-90-year-trends/
"Portfolio Risk Management: Winning The Long Game (Chapter 5)
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/portfolio-risk-management-winning-the-long-game-chapter-5/
"US Debt Trap: A Crisis Without A Calendar"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/us-debt-trap-a-crisis-without-a-calendar/
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